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Industry ViewWe forecast that Iran will return to economic growth in 2014, with real GDP set to expand by 2.4%following our 2013 estimate of a 1.6% contraction. Container shipping also is set to take tentative steps torecovery. Risks to the upside to both of these forecasts are presented by the growing rapprochementbetween Iran and the international community. However, the country's shipping sector has been impactedseverely by sanctions in recent years - another hit came in 2013 as since the introduction of strengthened USsanctions on July 1, all major shipping lines ceased calling at Iranian ports.Headline Industry Data - 2014 Port of Bandar Abbas throughput forecast to grow by 3.1%, and average growth of 6.0% to 2018. - 2018 Port of Bandar Abbas throughput expected to reach 1.992mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) -not enough to match 2011 volumes. - 2014 total real trade is forecast to return to growth at 5.5%, and average 4.7% to 2018.
Industry View 7SWOT 9Political 11Economic 12Business Environment 13Industry Forecast 14Table: Consumer Electronics Overview (US$mn), 2010-2017 15Table: Israel Distributors For Leading Brands 19Macroeconomic Forecasts 20Economic Analysis 20Table: Israel - Economic Activity 25Industry Risk Reward Ratings 26Table: Middle East And Africa CE RRR - Q1 2014 28Market Overview 29Computers 29Table: PC Sales, 2010-2017 29AV Devices 34Table: AV Market - 2010-2017 34Mobile Devices 38Table: Mobile Communications, 2010-2017 38Table: Israel Cellular Operators And Technology 41Industry Overview 42Table: ICT Overview, 2010-2017 43Table: Exports, 2010-2017 43Table: Manufacturing, 2010-2017 45Regulatory Development 48Competitive Landscape 50International Companies 50Table: Intel 50Table: Apple 51Table: Samsung Electronics 52Table: Hewlett Packard 53Company Profile 54Scailex Corporation 54TowerJazz 58Demographic Forecast 61Demographic Outlook 61Table: Israel's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 62Table: Israel's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 63Table: Israel's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 64Table: Israel's Rural/Urban Population Split, 1990-2020 64Methodology 65Industry Forecast Methodology 65Sector-Specific Methodology 66Sources 66Risk Reward Rating Methodology 67Sector-Specific Methodology 68Table: Consumer Electronics Risk Reward Ratings Indicators 68Table: Weighting Of Indicators 69