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View: Continuing, albeit slower, economic expansion and trade will support activity levels in Malaysia's main ports in 2015. Port Klang and Port Tanjung Pelepas further benefit from expansion projects and developments which have been completed over the last two years.BMI is predicting a slowdown in Malaysian economic growth in 2015, with GDP rising by 4.2%, compared to an estimated 5.8% in 2014. The slowdown reflects weaker domestic consumption and export demand. The expected introduction of a 6.0% goods and services tax (GST) in Malaysia in April 2015, along with a likely reduction in fuel subsidies and higher electricity tariffs as the government seeks to control the fiscal deficit, will combine to limit household spending. Meanwhile, the slowdown in China, one of Malaysia's key trading partners, will restrain export demand. China is Malaysia's third largest export destination, accounting for 12% of total exports. We believe that the recovery in the US will be unable to fully offset the drag from the decline in Chinese demand, resulting in slower export growth in 2015. Over the medium term (2015-2019), we expect Malaysian economic growth to average at 4.1% y-o-y.
Industry View 5SWOT 7Shipping 7Political 9Economic 11SWOT 13Industry Forecast 16Port Klang Throughput 16Table: Major Ports Data (Malaysia 2012-2019) 20Table: Trade Overview (Malaysia 2012-2019) 21Table: Key Trade Indicators (Malaysia 2012-2019) 21Table: Top Import Partners, 2006-2013 23Table: Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013 24Market Overview 25Malaysia Container Shipping Market Overview 25Company Profile 31MISC Berhad 31Shipping - Global Industry View 34Container Lines To Prosper In 2015 34Global Company Strategy 39Maersk Line 39Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 50CMA CGM 56Evergreen Line 67COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 74Macroeconomic Forecasts 82Economic Analysis 82Risks To Outlook 84Table: Economic Activity (Malaysia 2009-2018) 85Demographic Forecast 86Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malaysia 1990-2025) 87Table: Key Population Ratios (Malaysia 1990-2025) 87Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malaysia 1990-2025) 88Table: Population By Age Group (Malaysia 1990-2025) 88Table: Population By Age Group % (Malaysia 1990-2025) 89