Poland Shipping Report

 Published On: Feb, 2015 |    No of Pages: 86 |  Published By: BMI Shipping | Format: PDF
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We continue to expect a strong performance from Polish ports in 2015. GDP expansion, a continuing trade recovery (despite some worries over export demand), the beneficial effects of capacity expansion, and Poland's important gateway role will support growth. Both key ports - Gdansk and Gdynia - will see tonnage and box traffic rising in the 6-8% range.

We have edged up our outlook for the Polish economy relative to our last quarterly report, although we remain below consensus. We believe GDP will expand 3.2% in 2015 (3.1% previously) after estimated growth of 3.1% in 2014 (2.8% previously). One of the biggest drivers of growth is government spending ahead of parliamentary elections, expected in October. Before resigning to take a new post in the European Council, Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced a public spending package and we expect his successor Ewa Kopacz to honour this pledge. Household consumption is also positive although it has struggled to gain momentum. Exports are somewhat more under pressure, particularly as we have reined in our forecasts for Germany, a key Polish export market.

Industry View 5
Shipping 7
Political 8
Economic 9
Operational Risk SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 13
Port Of Gdansk Throughput 13
Port Of Gdynia Throughput 17
Table: Major Ports Data (Poland 2012-2019) 19
Table: Trade Overview (Poland 2012-2019) 20
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Poland 2012-2019) 21
Table: Top Import Sources, 2006-2013 22
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013 23
Market Overview 24
Poland Container Shipping Market Overview 24
Shipping - Global Industry View 30
Container Lines To Prosper In 2015 30
Global Company Strategy 35
Maersk Line 35
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 46
Evergreen Line 63
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 70
Macroeconomic Forecasts 78
Economic Analysis 78
Real GDP Expenditure Breakdown 79
Risks To Outlook 82
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Poland 2011-2018) 82
Demographic Forecast 83
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025) 84
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025) 84
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025) 85
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025) 85
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025) 86

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