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Growth at South African ports is threatened by the global headwinds that are posing challenges for the country as a whole, namely the China slowdown and the drying up of foreign inflows due to the raised possibility that the extraordinarily loose monetary policy that has been the norm in the US is tapered offHowever, with continued investment in facilities, growth in private final consumption, and ever-expanding coal exports, we forecast growth in both total tonnage and container volumes at South African ports in 2014Headline Industry Data ¦ Richards Bay Port tonnage throughput in 2014 is forecast to increase by 4.2%. Over the medium term to 2018 we project a 4.8% average annual increase¦ Port of Durban container throughput is forecast to grow by 2.0% in 2014. Growth will average 2.8% per annum in the medium-term forecast period to 2018¦ 2014 total trade growth is forecast at 3.8%, and to average 4.4% per annum to 2018.
Industry View 7SWOT 9Shipping 9Political 10Economic 11Business Environment 12Industry Forecast 13Port Of Durban Throughput 13Port Of Richards Bay Throughput 17Table: Major Ports Data, 2012-2018 21Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018 23Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018 23Table: South Africa's Main Import Partners, 2004-201224Table: South Africa's Main Export Partners, 2004-2012. 25Market Overview 26South Africa Container Shipping Market Overview 26Industry Trends And Developments 34South Africa Company Profile 35Safmarine 35Deutsche Afrika-Linien (DAL) 39Shipping - Global Industry View 41Container Demand: 41Container Supply: 48Container Rates: 54Global Company Strategy 58Maersk Line 58Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 71CMA CGM 76Evergreen Line 86COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 93Macroeconomic Forecasts 100Table: Real GDP Growth, % chg q-o-q, SAAR 100Table: South Africa - Economic Activity 104Demographic Forecast 105Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 106Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 107Table: South Africa's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 108Table: South Africa's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 108