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View: The situation within the wider Venezuelan economy is set to have a detrimental effect on ourshipping forecasts for the country over at least the short term. Following another significant downgrade toour oil price forecasts, we have downwardly adjusted our expectations for Venezuelan growth in 2015 and2016. We now expect that the recession that began in 2014 will become even more pronounced in 2015, andnegative growth will persist into 2016.Both Colombia and Venezuela are poised to face rising pressure on their export growth due to falling oilprices and sluggish crude production growth. However, Venezuela is especially vulnerable given thegovernment's unwillingness to address the structural drivers underpinning the hydrocarbon sector'sunderperformance.
Industry View 5SWOT 7Shipping 7Political 9Economic 10SWOT 11Industry Forecast 13Puerto Cabello Throughput 13Port Of La Guaira Throughput 16Table: Major Ports Data (Venezuela 2012-2019) 19Table: Trade Overview (Venezuela 2012-2019) 19Table: Key Trade Indicators (Venezuela 2012-2019) 20Table: Venezuela's Top Import Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn) 21Table: Venezuela's Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn) 22Market Overview 23Venezuela 23Company Profile 31Petróleos de Venezuela Marina 31Shipping - Global Industry View 34Container Lines To Prosper In 2015 34Global Company Strategy 39Maersk Line 39Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 50CMA CGM 56Evergreen Line 66COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 73Macroeconomic Forecasts 82Economic Analysis 82Demographic Forecast 86Demographic Outlook 2015 86Table: Population Headline Indicators (Venezuela 1990-2025) 87Table: Key Population Ratios (Venezuela 1990-2025) 87Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Venezuela 1990-2025) 88Table: Population By Age Group (Venezuela 1990-2025) 88Table: Population By Age Group % (Venezuela 1990-2025) 89