Malaysia Freight Transport & Shipping Report

 Published On: Feb, 2016 |    No of Pages: 50 |  Published By: BMI Freight Transport and Shipping | Format: PDF
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"BMI View: We expect healthy growth across the freight modes in Malaysia in 2016, with rail freight pencilled in to register the strongest y-o-y gains. As a regional transhipment hub, Malaysia's freight modes benefit from strong trade links with its neighbours and this will only be strengthened over the medium to long term with the relatively advantageous agreement obtained by the country in the Trans Pacific Partnership. These gains will be largely derived from increases in allocative efficiencies, productivity gains, and the fall in investment barriers due to the gradual removal of tariff and non-tariff barriers.
Key Updates and Forecasts
■ Malaysia's 2015 real GDP growth came in at 5.0%, slightly above our forecast of 4.7%. Ongoing weakness in the Chinese economy coupled with continued headwinds in the domestic economy will continue to weigh on Malaysia's economic growth, however, which will temper our freight forecasts somewhat as a result. As such, we maintain our 2016 real GDP forecast at 4.5%.
■ Total trade (real terms) in Malaysia is set to increase by a healthy 4.05% y-o-y in 2016, up fairly significantly from 1.05% in 2015. The country's improving economic outlook, coupled with a strengthening in regional demand, is driving up trade, although headwinds do persist in the form of slowing demand from key trade partner China (which has led to a sharp fall in export demand) and lower oil prices, while a weakening currency that has exacerbated by the recent yuan devaluation, broad-based US dollar strength, and ongoing political uncertainty.
■ The highest rate of annual growth across Malaysia's freight mix is set to be rail at 9.6% in 2016, with the slowest y-o-y growth forecast to come in air freight at 1.1%

BMI Industry View ....... 5
Table: Trade Overview (Malaysia 2013-2020)        . . . . 5
SWOT .... 6
Industry Forecast  8
Trade Forecast .. 8
Table: Trade Overview (Malaysia 2013-2020)        . . . 13
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Malaysia 2013-2020)       . . . 13
Table: Top Import Sources  14
Table: Top Export Destinations 15
Road Freight Forecast ...... 16
Table: Road Freight (Malaysia 2013-2020)         18
Rail Freight Forecast ....... 20
Table: Rail Freight (Malaysia 2013-2020)         . 23
Air Freight Forecast  25
Table: Air Freight (Malaysia 2013-2020)         . . 28
Shipping Forecast .... 30
Ocean Shipping ..... 30
Table: Major Ports Data (Malaysia 2013-2020)        . 33
Table: Top Import Sources, 2007-2014         . . . . . 34
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2007-2014         35
Market Overview ....... 36
Company Profile  39
MASkargo ...... 39
Demographic Forecast ..... 42
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malaysia 1990-2025)     . . . . 43
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malaysia 1990-2025)       . . 43
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malaysia 1990-2025)   . . . 44
Table: Population By Age Group (Malaysia 1990-2025)      . . . . 44
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malaysia 1990-2025)      . 45
Methodology ...... 47
Industry Forecast Methodology  47
Sector-Specific Methodology .... 48
Sources  50

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