Peru Freight Transport Report

 Published On: Jul, 2014 |    No of Pages: 79 |  Published By: BMI Freight Transport | Format: PDF
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Maintains its broadly positive view on Peru's freight transport sector. While we expect real GDP growth to level off at around 5.0% during our forecast period, below its recent trend, significant mineral wealth, attractive investment opportunities at the sector level, and a growing consumer story underpin our view that Peru will remain one of the most dynamic economies in Latin America in the coming years

Further upside comes from the recently announced plan to heavily invest in Peru's transport network, which BMI believes will help boost the country's freight transport volumes, through providing easier routes to market. However, we caution that perhaps the plan is overly ambitious, and might not quite hit the desired target by the scheduled date. According to Peru's transport and communications minister, Carlos Paredes Rodrígues, USD22bn is set to be invested in the Latin American country's transport and communications sectors by 2016.

Industry View 7
Freight Transport 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Business Environment 12
Industry Forecast 13
Road 14
Air 15
Table: Air Freight (Peru 2011-2018) 17
Rail 17
Table: Rail Freight (Peru 2011-2018) 19
Maritime 19
Table: Maritime Freight (Peru 2011-2018) 20
Trade 21
Table: Trade Overview (Peru 2011-2018) 21
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Peru 2011-2018) 21
Table: Top Import Partners, USD22
Table: Top Export Partners, USD 23
Market Overview 24
Industry Trends And Developments 26
Company Profile 29
Ferrocarril Central Andino 29
Political Outlook 31
Domestic Politics 31
Table: Recent Cabinet Changes 31
Long-Term Political Outlook 33
Table: Table: Political Overview38
Oil Price Outlook 40
Jet Fuel 40
Table: BMI Crude Oil & Jet Fuel Price Forecast, USD/bbl 40
Better Outlook Tames Price Fall 40
Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volume Growth42
Risks To Outlook 45
Diesel 46
Table: BMI Crude Oil And Diesel Price Forecast (USD/bbl) 46
New York's One-Off Heat Up 46
NY: Short-Term Diesel Price Support Expected 49
Rotterdam: Green Policies Drive Diesel Forward 53
Singapore: Diesel Support With Power Risks 55
Risks To Outlook 59
Bunker Fuel 60
Table: BMI Crude Oil & Bunker Fuel Price Forecast (USD/bbl) 60
The Storm Clears For Shipping 61
(Slightly) Better Times For Bunker Prices 63
Long-Term Threats Linger 64
Pressing Rotterdam & New York Harder 66
Risks To Outlook 67
Macroeconomic Forecasts 68
Table: Peru - Economic Activity 72
Demographic Forecast 73
Table: Peru's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 74
Table: Peru's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 75
Table: Peru's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 76
Table: Peru's Rural/Urban Population, 1990-2020 76
Methodology 77
Industry Forecast Methodology 77
Sector-Specific Methodology 78
Sources 79

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