Philippines Freight Transport Report

 Published On: Feb, 2015 |    No of Pages: 59 |  Published By: BMI Freight Transport | Format: PDF
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While the Philippines will continue to run a trade deficit, sustained robust growth in services exports will
allow the country to generate a current account surplus with this growth providing a spur for the country's
freight industry. We forecast the country's current account surplus to rise to 3.8% of GDP in 2015 from an
estimated 3.7% in 2014.
Although the Philippines freight industry will face headwinds from continued weakness in the Japanese
economy (a key trade partner), we nevertheless expect the country's current account position to remain
strong in 2015, on the back of a continued surplus in the services category as well as sustained robust
growth in overseas workers' remittances. A strong current account position will therefore help to sustain the
ongoing improvement in the Philippines' external accounts, which will greatly reduce systemic risk faced by
the country.

Industry View 7
Freight Transport 10
Political 12
Economic 13
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Cargo 16
Table: Cargo (Philippines 2012-2019) 18
Air Freight 18
Table: Air Freight (Philippines 2012-2019) 19
Maritime Freight 19
Table: Maritime Freight (Philippines 2012-2019) 20
Road & Rail Freight 20
Trade 21
Table: Trade Overview (Philippines 2012-2019) 21
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Philippines 2012-2019) 22
Table: Top Import Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn) 23
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn) 24
Market Overview 25
Company Profile 32
International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTSI) 32
Political Outlook 37
Foreign Policy 37
Political Outlook 40
Table: Philippines Political Overview 44
Oil Price Outlook 45
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts 45
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 45
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 46
Macroeconomic Forecasts 48
Economic Analysis 48
Table: Economic Activity (Philippines 2010-2019) 51
Demographic Forecast 52
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Philippines 1990-2025) 53
Table: Key Population Ratios (Philippines 1990-2025) 53
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Philippines 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group (Philippines 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group % (Philippines 1990-2025) 55
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sector-Specific Methodology 58
Sources 59

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