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Singapore's role as a global transhipment hub is both its blessing and its curse. In times such as these, when key markets in Europe and the US are either recessionary or growing sluggishly, it can be hit by depleted freight volumes. In 2014, we forecast growth in both port and airport total tonnage volumes, albeit it will be sluggish. Both facilities are investing considerably, and we are confident of growth over the medium and long termHeadline Industry Data ¦ 2014 air freight tonnage through Changi International Airport to grow 1.1% after a 0.8% expansion in 2013. Growth over our forecast period (2014-2018) to average 1.2% a year¦ The Port of Singapore's gross tonnage will grow by 7.2% in 2014, with average annual growth at 5.4% during our forecast period¦ The country's overall trade will grow by 3.4% in real terms in 2014, to average 4.1% to 2018.
Industry View 7SWOT 9Freight Transport 9Political 11Economic 12Business Environment 13Industry Forecast 14Air Freight 16Table: Air Freight (Singapore 2011-2018) 18Maritime 18Table: Maritime Freight (Singapore 2011-2018) 20Road Freight 20Trade 21Table: Trade Overview (Singapore 2011-2018) 21 Table: Key Trade Indicators (Singapore 2011-2018) 21Table: Singapore's Top Import Sources, 2004-2012 (USDmn) 23Table: Singapore's Top Export Destinations, 2004-2012 (USDmn) 23Market Overview 25Industry Trends And Developments 30Air 30Maritime 30Company Profile 35Singapore Airlines Cargo (SIA Cargo) 35Pacific International Lines (PIL) 39Pacific Carriers Limited (PCL) 42APL 44Political Outlook 52Domestic Politics 52PAP Plying New Territory 52Staying The Course 53Long-Term Political Outlook 54Table: Table: Political Overview57Oil Price Outlook 59Bunker Fuel 59Table: BMI Crude Oil & Bunker Fuel Price Forecast (USD/bbl) 59The Storm Clears For Shipping 60(Slightly) Better Times For Bunker Prices 62Long-Term Threats Linger 63Pressing Rotterdam & New York Harder 65Risks To Outlook 66Jet Fuel 66Table: BMI Crude Oil & Jet Fuel Price Forecast, USD/bbl 66Better Outlook Tames Price Fall 67Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volume Growth69Risks To Outlook 72Diesel 73Table: BMI Crude Oil And Diesel Price Forecast (USD/bbl) 73New York's One-Off Heat Up 73NY: Short-Term Diesel Price Support Expected 76Rotterdam: Green Policies Drive Diesel Forward 80Singapore: Diesel Support With Power Risks 82Risks To Outlook 86Macroeconomic Forecasts 87Economic Analysis 87Global Liquidity Conditions Present Risks To Singapore… 89…But State Of Economy Remains Sound 90Table: Singapore - Economic Activity 93Demographic Forecast 94Table: Singapore's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 95Table: Singapore's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 96Table: Singapore's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 97Table: Singapore's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 97Methodology 98Industry Forecast Methodology 98Sector-Specific Methodology 99Sources 100