The 2016-2021 Outlook for Railroads in the United States

 Published On: Jul, 2013 |    No of Pages: 706 |  Published By: Icon Group International, Inc | Format: PDF
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This econometric study covers the latent demand outlook for railroads across the states and cities of the United States. Latent demand (in millions of U.S. dollars), or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.) estimates are given across some 12,700 cities in the United States. For each city in question, the percent share the city is of its state and of the United States is reported. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a city vis--vis others. This statistical approach can prove very useful to distribution and/or sales force strategies. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each state and city, latent demand estimates are created for railroads. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved. This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the cities in the United States). This study gives, however, my estimates for the latent demand, or the P.I.E., for railroads in the United States. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided and concentrated across the cities and regional markets of the United States. For each state, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time. In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on strategic planning at graduate schools of business.

Table Of Contents:

1 INTRODUCTION 9
1.1 Overview 9
1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 9
1.3 The Methodology 10
1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 11
1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 12
1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 12
1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 12
1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 13
1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 13
1.4 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 13
1.4.1 Category Definition 13
1.4.2 Units 13
1.4.3 Methodology 15
2 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 17
2.1 Latent Demand in The US 18
3 FAR WEST 19
3.1 Executive Summary 19
3.2 Latent Demand by Year - Alaska 21
3.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Alaska 22
3.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Alaska 23
3.5 Latent Demand by Year - California 25
3.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - California 26
3.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - California 47
3.8 Latent Demand by Year - Hawaii 68
3.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hawaii 69
3.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Hawaii 71
3.11 Latent Demand by Year - Nevada 74
3.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Nevada 75
3.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Nevada 76
3.14 Latent Demand by Year - Oregon 78
3.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Oregon 79
3.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Oregon 83
3.17 Latent Demand by Year - Washington 87
3.18 Cities Sorted by Rank - Washington 88
3.19 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Washington 95
4 GREAT LAKES 104
4.1 Executive Summary 104
4.2 Latent Demand by Year - Illinois 105
4.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Illinois 106
4.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Illinois 120
4.5 Latent Demand by Year - Indiana 135
4.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - Indiana 136
4.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Indiana 142
4.8 Latent Demand by Year - Michigan 150
4.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Michigan 151
4.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Michigan 160
4.11 Latent Demand by Year - Ohio 169
4.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Ohio 170
4.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Ohio 183
4.14 Latent Demand by Year - Wisconsin 197
4.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Wisconsin 198
4.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Wisconsin 208
5 MID-ATLANTIC 218
5.1 Executive Summary 218
5.2 Latent Demand by Year - Delaware 220
5.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Delaware 221
5.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Delaware 222
5.5 Latent Demand by Year - District of Columbia 223
5.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - District of Columbia 224
5.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - District of Columbia 224
5.8 Latent Demand by Year - Maryland 225
5.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Maryland 226
5.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Maryland 232
5.11 Latent Demand by Year - New Jersey 239
5.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - New Jersey 241
5.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - New Jersey 251
5.14 Latent Demand by Year - New York 261
5.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - New York 262
5.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - New York 287
5.17 Latent Demand by Year - Pennsylvania 313
5.18 Cities Sorted by Rank - Pennsylvania 314
5.19 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Pennsylvania 331
6 NEW ENGLAND 348
6.1 Executive Summary 348
6.2 Latent Demand by Year - Connecticut 350
6.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Connecticut 351
6.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Connecticut 356
6.5 Latent Demand by Year - Maine 361
6.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - Maine 362
6.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Maine 367
6.8 Latent Demand by Year - Massachusetts 373
6.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Massachusetts 374
6.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Massachusetts 383
6.11 Latent Demand by Year - New Hampshire 392
6.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - New Hampshire 393
6.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - New Hampshire 397
6.14 Latent Demand by Year - Rhode Island 401
6.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Rhode Island 402
6.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Rhode Island 403
6.17 Latent Demand by Year - Vermont 405
6.18 Cities Sorted by Rank - Vermont 406
6.19 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Vermont 409
7 PLAINS 412
7.1 Executive Summary 412
7.2 Latent Demand by Year - Iowa 414
7.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Iowa 415
7.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Iowa 420
7.5 Latent Demand by Year - Kansas 425
7.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kansas 426
7.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Kansas 429
7.8 Latent Demand by Year - Minnesota 433
7.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Minnesota 434
7.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Minnesota 441
7.11 Latent Demand by Year - Missouri 448
7.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Missouri 449
7.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Missouri 455
7.14 Latent Demand by Year - Nebraska 462
7.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Nebraska 463
7.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Nebraska 465
7.17 Latent Demand by Year - North Dakota 467
7.18 Cities Sorted by Rank - North Dakota 468
7.19 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - North Dakota 469
7.20 Latent Demand by Year - South Dakota 470
7.21 Cities Sorted by Rank - South Dakota 471
7.22 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - South Dakota 472
8 ROCKIES 473
8.1 Executive Summary 473
8.2 Latent Demand by Year - Colorado 474
8.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Colorado 475
8.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Colorado 479
8.5 Latent Demand by Year - Idaho 484
8.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - Idaho 485
8.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Idaho 486
8.8 Latent Demand by Year - Montana 489
8.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Montana 490
8.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Montana 491
8.11 Latent Demand by Year - Utah 494
8.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Utah 495
8.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Utah 498
8.14 Latent Demand by Year - Wyoming 502
8.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Wyoming 503
8.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Wyoming 504
9 SOUTHEAST 505
9.1 Executive Summary 505
9.2 Latent Demand by Year - Alabama 507
9.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Alabama 508
9.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Alabama 513
9.5 Latent Demand by Year - Arkansas 519
9.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - Arkansas 520
9.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Arkansas 523
9.8 Latent Demand by Year - Florida 527
9.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Florida 528
9.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Florida 544
9.11 Latent Demand by Year - Georgia 560
9.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Georgia 561
9.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Georgia 568
9.14 Latent Demand by Year - Kentucky 575
9.15 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kentucky 576
9.16 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Kentucky 580
9.17 Latent Demand by Year - Louisiana 585
9.18 Cities Sorted by Rank - Louisiana 586
9.19 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Louisiana 591
9.20 Latent Demand by Year - Mississippi 596
9.21 Cities Sorted by Rank - Mississippi 597
9.22 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Mississippi 600
9.23 Latent Demand by Year - North Carolina 603
9.24 Cities Sorted by Rank - North Carolina 604
9.25 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - North Carolina 612
9.26 Latent Demand by Year - South Carolina 620
9.27 Cities Sorted by Rank - South Carolina 621
9.28 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - South Carolina 626
9.29 Latent Demand by Year - Tennessee 631
9.30 Cities Sorted by Rank - Tennessee 632
9.31 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Tennessee 637
9.32 Latent Demand by Year - Virginia 643
9.33 Cities Sorted by Rank - Virginia 644
9.34 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Virginia 649
9.35 Latent Demand by Year - West Virginia 654
9.36 Cities Sorted by Rank - West Virginia 655
9.37 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - West Virginia 657
10 SOUTHWEST 659
10.1 Executive Summary 659
10.2 Latent Demand by Year - Arizona 660
10.3 Cities Sorted by Rank - Arizona 661
10.4 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Arizona 664
10.5 Latent Demand by Year - New Mexico 669
10.6 Cities Sorted by Rank - New Mexico 670
10.7 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - New Mexico 672
10.8 Latent Demand by Year - Oklahoma 674
10.9 Cities Sorted by Rank - Oklahoma 675
10.10 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Oklahoma 679
10.11 Latent Demand by Year - Texas 683
10.12 Cities Sorted by Rank - Texas 684
10.13 Cities Sorted by Zipcode - Texas 702
11 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 721
11.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 721
11.2 ICON Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 722

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