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This econometric study covers the outlook for aircraft products and services in Asia, Oceana & the Americas. For each year reported, estimates are given for the latent demand, or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.), for the country in question (in millions of U.S. dollars), the percent share the country is of the region and of the globe. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a country vis-à-vis others. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each country and across countries, latent demand estimates are created. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved.
This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the countries in Asia, Oceana & the Americas). This study gives, however, my estimates for the latent demand, or the P.I.E. for aircraft products and services in Asia, Oceana & the Americas. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided across the national markets of Asia, Oceana & the Americas. For each country, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time (positive or negative growth). In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on international strategic planning at graduate schools of business.
Table Of Contents:
1 INTRODUCTION 81.1 Overview 81.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 81.3 The Methodology 91.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 111.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 121.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 131.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 131.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 141.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 141.3.7 Step 7. Latent Demand Density: Allocating Across Cities 142 ASIA, OCEANA & THE AMERICAS 162.1 Executive Summary 162.2 American Samoa 172.3 Antigua and Barbuda 182.4 Argentina 182.5 Aruba 202.6 Australia 202.7 Bangladesh 212.8 Barbados 222.9 Belize 232.10 Bermuda 232.11 Bhutan 242.12 Bolivia 252.13 Brazil 252.14 Brunei 262.15 Burma 272.16 Cambodia 272.17 Canada 282.18 Chile 292.19 China 302.20 Christmas Island 312.21 Colombia 312.22 Cook Islands 322.23 Costa Rica 332.24 Cuba 332.25 Dominica 342.26 Dominican Republic 352.27 Ecuador 352.28 El Salvador 362.29 Fiji 372.30 French Guiana 372.31 French Polynesia 382.32 Greenland 392.33 Grenada 402.34 Guadeloupe 402.35 Guam 412.36 Guatemala 422.37 Guyana 422.38 Haiti 432.39 Honduras 442.40 Hong Kong 452.41 India 452.42 Indonesia 462.43 Jamaica 472.44 Japan 482.45 Kiribati 492.46 Laos 502.47 Macau 502.48 Malaysia 512.49 Maldives 522.50 Marshall Islands 522.51 Martinique 532.52 Mexico 532.53 Micronesia Federation 542.54 Mongolia 552.55 Nauru 552.56 Nepal 562.57 New Caledonia 572.58 New Zealand 572.59 Nicaragua 582.60 Niue 592.61 Norfolk Island 602.62 North Korea 602.63 Palau 612.64 Panama 622.65 Papua New Guinea 622.66 Paraguay 632.67 Peru 642.68 Philippines 652.69 Puerto Rico 662.70 Seychelles 672.71 Singapore 672.72 Solomon Islands 682.73 South Korea 692.74 Sri Lanka 702.75 St. Kitts and Nevis 702.76 St. Lucia 712.77 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 722.78 Suriname 722.79 Taiwan 732.80 Thailand 742.81 The Bahamas 742.82 The British Virgin Islands 752.83 The Cayman Islands 762.84 The Falkland Islands 762.85 The Northern Mariana Island 772.86 The U.S. Virgin Islands 782.87 The United States 782.88 Tokelau 792.89 Tonga 802.90 Trinidad and Tobago 802.91 Tuvalu 812.92 Uruguay 822.93 Vanuatu 822.94 Venezuela 832.95 Vietnam 842.96 Wallis and Futuna 842.97 Western Samoa 852.98 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 852.98.1 Category Definition 852.98.2 Units 862.98.3 Methodology 873 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 893.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 893.2 Icon Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 90