The 2016-2021 Outlook for Aircraft Leasing in Latin America

 Published On: Jul, 2013 |    No of Pages: 38 |  Published By: Icon Group International, Inc | Format: PDF
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This econometric study covers the outlook for aircraft leasing in Latin America. For each year reported, estimates are given for the latent demand, or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.), for the country in question (in millions of U.S. dollars), the percent share the country is of the region and of the globe. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a country vis--vis others. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each country and across countries, latent demand estimates are created. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved. This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the countries in Latin America). This study gives, however, my estimates for the latent demand, or the P.I.E. for aircraft leasing in Latin America. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided across the national markets of Latin America. For each country, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time (positive or negative growth). In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on international strategic planning at graduate schools of business.

Table Of Contents:

1.1 Overview 6
1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 6
1.3 The Methodology 7
1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 9
1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 10
1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 10
1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 11
1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 12
1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 12
1.3.7 Step 7. Latent Demand Density: Allocating Across Cities 12
2.1 Executive Summary 14
2.2 Argentina 15
2.3 Belize 16
2.4 Bolivia 17
2.5 Brazil 17
2.6 Chile 18
2.7 Colombia 19
2.8 Costa Rica 20
2.9 Ecuador 21
2.10 El Salvador 22
2.11 French Guiana 22
2.12 Guatemala 23
2.13 Guyana 24
2.14 Honduras 24
2.15 Mexico 25
2.16 Nicaragua 26
2.17 Panama 27
2.18 Paraguay 28
2.19 Peru 29
2.20 Suriname 30
2.21 The Falkland Islands 30
2.22 Uruguay 31
2.23 Venezuela 32
2.24 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 32
2.24.1 Category Definition 32
2.24.2 Units 33
2.24.3 Methodology 34
3.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 36
3.2 Icon Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 37

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