The 2016-2021 Outlook for Specialized Freight Trucking in Greater China

 Published On: Apr, 2015 |    No of Pages: 146 |  Published By: Icon Group International, Inc | Format: PDF
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This econometric study covers the latent demand outlook for specialized freight trucking across the regions of Greater China, including provinces, autonomous regions (Guangxi, Nei Mongol, Ningxia, Xinjiang, Xizang - Tibet), municipalities (Beijing, Chongqing, Shanghai, and Tianjin), special administrative regions (Hong Kong and Macau), and Taiwan (all hereafter referred to as “regions”). Latent demand (in millions of U.S. dollars), or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.) estimates are given across some 1,100 cities in Greater China. For each major city in question, the percent share the city is of the region and of Greater China is reported. Each major city is defined as an area of “economic population”, as opposed to the demographic population within a legal geographic boundary. For many cities, the economic population is much larger that the population within the city limits; this is especially true for the cities of the Western regions. For the coastal regions, cities which are close to other major cities or which represent, by themselves, a high percent of the regional population, actual city-level population is closer to the economic population (e.g. in Beijing). Based on this “economic” definition of population, comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a city’s marketing and distribution value vis-ŕ-vis others. This exercise is quite useful for persons setting up distribution centers or sales force strategies. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each region and city of influence, latent demand estimates are created for specialized freight trucking.

This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved.

Table Of Contents:

1 INTRODUCTION 9
1.1 Overview 9
1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 9
1.3 The Methodology 10
1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 11
1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 14
1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 14
1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 14
1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 15
1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 15
1.4 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 15
1.4.1 Category Definition 15
1.4.2 Units 16
1.4.3 Methodology 17
2 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 19
2.1 The Latent Demand in Greater China 19
2.2 Top 100 Cities Sorted By Rank 20
3 ANHUI 24
3.1 Latent Demand by Year - Anhui 24
3.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Anhui 25
3.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Anhui 26
4 BEIJING 28
4.1 Latent Demand by Year - Beijing 28
4.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Beijing 29
4.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Beijing 29
5 CHONGQING 30
5.1 Latent Demand by Year - Chongqing 30
5.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Chongqing 31
5.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Chongqing 32
6 FUJIAN 33
6.1 Latent Demand by Year - Fujian 33
6.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Fujian 34
6.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Fujian 35
7 GANSU 37
7.1 Latent Demand by Year - Gansu 37
7.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Gansu 38
7.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Gansu 39
8 GUANGDONG 40
8.1 Latent Demand by Year - Guangdong 40
8.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Guangdong 41
8.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Guangdong 43
9 GUANGXI 46
9.1 Latent Demand by Year - Guangxi 46
9.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Guangxi 47
9.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Guangxi 48
10 GUIZHOU 49
10.1 Latent Demand by Year - Guizhou 49
10.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Guizhou 50
10.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Guizhou 51
11 HAINAN 52
11.1 Latent Demand by Year - Hainan 52
11.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hainan 53
11.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Hainan 54
12 HEBEI 55
12.1 Latent Demand by Year - Hebei 55
12.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hebei 56
12.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Hebei 57
13 HEILONGJIANG 58
13.1 Latent Demand by Year - Heilongjiang 58
13.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Heilongjiang 59
13.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Heilongjiang 61
14 HENAN 63
14.1 Latent Demand by Year - Henan 63
14.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Henan 64
14.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Henan 66
15 HONG KONG 68
15.1 Latent Demand by Year - Hong Kong 68
15.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hong Kong 69
15.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Hong Kong 70
16 HUBEI 71
16.1 Latent Demand by Year - Hubei 71
16.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hubei 72
16.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Hubei 74
17 HUNAN 76
17.1 Latent Demand by Year - Hunan 76
17.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hunan 77
17.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Hunan 79
18 JIANGSU 81
18.1 Latent Demand by Year - Jiangsu 81
18.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Jiangsu 82
18.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Jiangsu 84
19 JIANGXI 86
19.1 Latent Demand by Year - Jiangxi 86
19.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Jiangxi 87
19.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Jiangxi 88
20 JILIN 90
20.1 Latent Demand by Year - Jilin 90
20.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Jilin 91
20.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Jilin 92
21 LIAONING 94
21.1 Latent Demand by Year - Liaoning 94
21.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Liaoning 95
21.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Liaoning 96
22 MACAU 98
22.1 Latent Demand by Year - Macau 98
22.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Macau 99
22.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Macau 99
23 NEI MONGGOL 100
23.1 Latent Demand by Year - Nei Monggol 100
23.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Nei Monggol 101
23.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Nei Monggol 102
24 NINGXIA 103
24.1 Latent Demand by Year - Ningxia 103
24.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Ningxia 104
24.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Ningxia 104
25 QINGHAI 105
25.1 Latent Demand by Year - Qinghai 105
25.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Qinghai 106
25.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Qinghai 106
26 SHAANXI 107
26.1 Latent Demand by Year - Shaanxi 107
26.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Shaanxi 108
26.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Shaanxi 109
27 SHANDONG 110
27.1 Latent Demand by Year - Shandong 110
27.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Shandong 111
27.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Shandong 113
28 SHANGHAI 115
28.1 Latent Demand by Year - Shanghai 115
28.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Shanghai 116
28.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Shanghai 116
29 SHANXI 117
29.1 Latent Demand by Year - Shanxi 117
29.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Shanxi 118
29.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Shanxi 119
30 SICHUAN 120
30.1 Latent Demand by Year - Sichuan 120
30.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Sichuan 121
30.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Sichuan 123
31 TAIWAN 125
31.1 Latent Demand by Year - Taiwan 125
31.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Taiwan 126
31.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Taiwan 128
32 TIANJIN 131
32.1 Latent Demand by Year - Tianjin 131
32.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Tianjin 132
32.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Tianjin 132
33 XINJIANG UYGUR 133
33.1 Latent Demand by Year - Xinjiang Uygur 133
33.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Xinjiang Uygur 134
33.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Xinjiang Uygur 135
34 XIZANG [THIBET] 136
34.1 Latent Demand by Year - Xizang [Thibet] 136
34.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Xizang [Thibet] 137
34.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Xizang [Thibet] 137
35 YUNNAN 138
35.1 Latent Demand by Year - Yunnan 138
35.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Yunnan 139
35.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Yunnan 140
36 ZHEJIANG 141
36.1 Latent Demand by Year - Zhejiang 141
36.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Zhejiang 142
36.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Zhejiang 143
37 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 145
37.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 145
37.2 User Agreement Provisions 146

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