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This econometric study covers the latent demand outlook for railroad freight services across the prefectures and cities of Japan. Latent demand (in millions of U.S. dollars), or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.) estimates are given across some 1,000 cities in Japan. This statistical approach can prove very useful to distribution and/or sales force strategies. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each prefecture and city, latent demand estimates are created for railroad freight services. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved. This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the cities in Japan). This study gives, however, my estimates for the latent demand, or the P.I.E., for railroad freight services in Japan. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided and concentrated across the cities and regional markets of Japan.
Table Of Contents: 1 INTRODUCTION 101.1 Overview 101.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 101.3 The Methodology 111.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 121.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 131.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 131.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 141.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 141.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 141.4 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 151.4.1 Category Definition 151.4.2 Units 151.4.3 Methodology 162 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 182.1 The Latent Demand in Japan 182.2 Top 100 Cities Sorted by Rank 203 AICHI 233.1 Latent Demand by Year - Aichi 233.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Aichi 243.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Aichi 254 AKITA 274.1 Latent Demand by Year - Akita 274.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Akita 284.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Akita 285 AOMORI 295.1 Latent Demand by Year - Aomori 295.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Aomori 305.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Aomori 306 CHIBA 316.1 Latent Demand by Year - Chiba 316.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Chiba 326.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Chiba 337 EHIME 347.1 Latent Demand by Year - Ehime 347.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Ehime 357.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Ehime 358 FUKUI 368.1 Latent Demand by Year - Fukui 368.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Fukui 378.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Fukui 379 FUKUOKA 389.1 Latent Demand by Year - Fukuoka 389.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Fukuoka 399.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Fukuoka 4010 FUKUSHIMA 4110.1 Latent Demand by Year - Fukushima 4110.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Fukushima 4210.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Fukushima 4211 GIFU 4311.1 Latent Demand by Year - Gifu 4311.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Gifu 4411.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Gifu 4512 GUMMA 4612.1 Latent Demand by Year - Gumma 4612.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Gumma 4712.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Gumma 4713 HIROSHIMA 4913.1 Latent Demand by Year - Hiroshima 4913.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hiroshima 5013.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Hiroshima 5014 HOKKAIDO 5214.1 Latent Demand by Year - Hokkaido 5214.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hokkaido 5314.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Hokkaido 5415 HYOGO 5615.1 Latent Demand by Year - Hyogo 5615.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hyogo 5715.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Hyogo 5816 IBARAKI 5916.1 Latent Demand by Year - Ibaraki 5916.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Ibaraki 6016.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Ibaraki 6117 ISHIKAWA 6217.1 Latent Demand by Year - Ishikawa 6217.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Ishikawa 6317.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Ishikawa 6318 IWATE 6418.1 Latent Demand by Year - Iwate 6418.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Iwate 6518.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Iwate 6519 KAGAWA 6719.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kagawa 6719.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kagawa 6819.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kagawa 6820 KAGOSHIMA 6920.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kagoshima 6920.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kagoshima 7020.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kagoshima 7021 KANAGAWA 7221.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kanagawa 7221.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kanagawa 7321.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kanagawa 7422 KOCHI 7522.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kochi 7522.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kochi 7622.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kochi 7623 KUMAMOTO 7723.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kumamoto 7723.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kumamoto 7823.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kumamoto 7824 KYOTO 8024.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kyoto 8024.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kyoto 8124.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kyoto 8125 MIE 8225.1 Latent Demand by Year - Mie 8225.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Mie 8325.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Mie 8326 MIYAGI 8526.1 Latent Demand by Year - Miyagi 8526.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Miyagi 8626.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Miyagi 8627 MIYAZAKI 8827.1 Latent Demand by Year - Miyazaki 8827.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Miyazaki 8927.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Miyazaki 8928 NAGANO 9028.1 Latent Demand by Year - Nagano 9028.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Nagano 9128.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Nagano 9229 NAGASAKI 9329.1 Latent Demand by Year - Nagasaki 9329.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Nagasaki 9429.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Nagasaki 9430 NARA 9530.1 Latent Demand by Year - Nara 9530.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Nara 9630.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Nara 9631 NIIGATA 9831.1 Latent Demand by Year - Niigata 9831.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Niigata 9931.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Niigata 10032 OITA 10132.1 Latent Demand by Year - Oita 10132.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Oita 10232.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Oita 10233 OKAYAMA 10333.1 Latent Demand by Year - Okayama 10333.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Okayama 10433.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Okayama 10434 OKINAWA 10534.1 Latent Demand by Year - Okinawa 10534.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Okinawa 10634.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Okinawa 10635 OSAKA 10735.1 Latent Demand by Year - Osaka 10735.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Osaka 10835.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Osaka 10936 SAGA 11036.1 Latent Demand by Year - Saga 11036.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Saga 11136.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Saga 11137 SAITAMA 11237.1 Latent Demand by Year - Saitama 11237.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Saitama 11337.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Saitama 11438 SHIGA 11638.1 Latent Demand by Year - Shiga 11638.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Shiga 11738.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Shiga 11739 SHIMANE 11839.1 Latent Demand by Year - Shimane 11839.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Shimane 11939.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Shimane 11940 SHIZUOKA 12040.1 Latent Demand by Year - Shizuoka 12040.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Shizuoka 12140.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Shizuoka 12241 TOCHIGI 12341.1 Latent Demand by Year - Tochigi 12341.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Tochigi 12441.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Tochigi 12542 TOKUSHIMA 12642.1 Latent Demand by Year - Tokushima 12642.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Tokushima 12742.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Tokushima 12743 TOKYO 12843.1 Latent Demand by Year - Tokyo 12843.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Tokyo 12943.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Tokyo 13044 TOTTORI 13144.1 Latent Demand by Year - Tottori 13144.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Tottori 13244.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Tottori 13245 TOYAMA 13345.1 Latent Demand by Year - Toyama 13345.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Toyama 13445.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Toyama 13446 WAKAYAMA 13546.1 Latent Demand by Year - Wakayama 13546.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Wakayama 13646.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Wakayama 13647 YAMAGATA 13747.1 Latent Demand by Year - Yamagata 13747.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Yamagata 13847.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Yamagata 13848 YAMAGUCHI 13948.1 Latent Demand by Year - Yamaguchi 13948.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Yamaguchi 14048.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Yamaguchi 14049 YAMANASHI 14149.1 Latent Demand by Year - Yamanashi 14149.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Yamanashi 14249.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Yamanashi 14250 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 14350.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 14350.2 ICON Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 144
