Indonesia Power Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 57 |  Published By: BMI Power | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Electricity demand is growing rapidly in Indonesia as the country's economy expands and diversifies and the national grid is extended to reach many of the more remote islands and communities. The government has set ambitious targets to rapidly expand domestic electricity capacity and generation over the next five to ten years and has enacted a number of measures to encourage private foreign investment in the power sector. Despite a significant project pipeline which encompasses coal and naturalgas fired thermal plants. and a broad range of renewables we do not expect the country to meet its targets in the current format, falling short as projects are hampered by inefficient management, widespread corruption, lack of financing and lack acquisition barriers.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

-The solar power sector will receive a boost from the introduction of a feed-in tariff which was approved in July 2016. The total quota is 250MW which is divided between various regions in the country. The tariff will also vary by region and is dependent on project size, with additional stipulations regarding the use of domestic services and materials.

-In August 2016 Singapore based KS Orka Renewables Pte Ltd announced it had completed the acquisition of a 100% stake in OTP Geothermal Pte Ltd (having purchased Tata Power's 50% share) and will now progress with the development of the 240MW Sorik Merapi Geothermal Power Project in North Sumatra.
BMI Industry View ............... 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2020)........... . . . . . . 7
SWOT .... 8
Industry Forecast .............. 10
Indonesia Snapshot .. 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Indonesia 2015-2019)........ 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Indonesia 2020-2025)........ 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector.............. 10
Indonesia Power Forecast Scenario ............ 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 11
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast 13
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast .......... 15
Non-Hydropower Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast ... 16
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity Forecasts .. 19
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019)........ . . . . . 19
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025)........ . . . . . 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019)........ . 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025)........ . 22
Electricity Consumption .......... 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019)........ . . . 23
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025)........ . . . 23
Transmission & Distribution .... 23
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019)........ . . . . . 25
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025)........ . . . . . 25
Industry Risk/Reward Index ............. 26
Asia Power Risk Reward Index ... 26
Table: Power RRI By Country (Scores Out Of 100)............ . . . . 32
Indonesia Power Risk/Reward Index ........... 33
Rewards ............... 33
Risks .... 33
Market Overview ............... 35
Key Policies And Market Structure .............. 35
Regulation And Competition ..... 35
Sustainable Energy Policies .... 36
Pricing . 37
Indonesia Power Projects Database ............ 38
Table: Indonesia - Top 10 Projects By Capacity............40
Competitive Landscape .... 42
Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) ............. 43
Central Java Power 43
Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE) ........ 44
Regional Overview ............ 45
Asia (Region) - Coal To Dominate, But Contribution To Slip ........... 45
Table: Bmi's Japan Korea Marker Forecast............. . . . 49
Glossary ............. 51
Table: Glossary Of Terms............... . . . . . . 51
Methodology ...... 52
Methodology And Sources ......... 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Sources 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ............... 55
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators............. . . . 56
Table: Weighting Of Indicators............... . 57
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