Slovakia Power Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 58 |  Published By: BMI Power | Format: PDF
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BMI View: As units three and four of the Mochovce nuclear power plant come online, we forecast nuclear capacity to increase 17.5% in 2017 and 15.2% in 2018. The increased power capacity from these plants will contribute to an increase of total power generation capacity, which we forecast will grow by 7.4% in 2017 and 9.0% in 2018, for a total of 28.4TWh and 30.9TWh respectively.This will consolidate the dominance of nuclear power in the power mix. After those projects come fully online, growth is likely to plateau for the remainder of our forecast period, given that other major projects have either been mothballed or marred by slow approval processes.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
-In late June 2016, Slovenské elektrárne (SE) announced that it had completed construction at the third unit of Mochovce, enabling the testing phase to get underway, a process which initially involves primary circuit testing, ahead of so-called cold and hot hydrostatic tests of the reactor, including leak tightness checks. Meanwhile, SE further sought to reassure the market that the fourth unit was around 75% complete. Building in the timeline for testing, SE therefore confirmed that Unit 3 would be phased in during 2017, while Unit 4 would come online through the course of 2018.
-Enel announced that it had successfully closed the first phase of its sale of SE - thereby offloading a 33% stake - in late July 2016. The sale of Enel's stake to EPH, a private company with Czech and Slovak energy assets, had been announced in December 2015, with two phases to the sale envisaged, on the basis of a preliminary price of EUR750mn. The first phase involved the disbursement of EUR150mn to Enel, with the fee for the remaining 33% contingent upon the health of SE after the completion of the two new nuclear reactors at Mochovce.
BMI Industry View ............... 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Slovakia 2015-2021)...........7
SWOT .... 9
Industry Forecast .............. 10
Slovakia Snapshot .... 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (Slovakia 2015-2020)........ . 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (Slovakia 2020-2025)........ . 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector.............. 10
Slovakia Power Forecast Scenario .............. 11
Electricity Generation And Power Generation Capacity 11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2014-2019)........ . . . . . . 18
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2020-2025)........ . . . . . . 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2014-2019)........ . . 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2020-2025)........ . . 21
Electricity Consumption .......... 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2014-2019)........ . . . . 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2020-2025)........ . . . . 22
Transmission & Distribution, Imports And Exports ....... 23
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2014-2019)........23
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2020-2025)........23
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2014-2019)........... . . . . . . 23
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2020-2025)........... . . . . . . 23
Industry Risk/Reward Index ............. 25
CEE Power Risk/Reward Index .. 25
Slovakia Power Risk/Reward Index ............. 32
Rewards ............... 32
Market Overview ............... 34
Key Policies And Market Structure .............. 34
Regulation And Competition ..... 34
Slovakia Power Projects Database .............. 36
Table: Slovakia - Power Projects..............36
Competitive Landscape .... 37
SE ....... 38
SPP ..... 38
ZSE ..... 39
SSE ..... 39
VSE ..... 39
SEPS ... 39
CEZ ..... 40
Company Profile 41
Slovak Electric ........ 41
Regional Overview ............ 44
CEE Power Regional Overview .. 44
Glossary ............. 52
Table: Glossary Of Terms............... . . . . . . 52
Methodology ...... 53
Methodology And Sources ......... 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ............... 56
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators............. . . . 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators............... . 58
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