United States Commercial Banking Report

 Published On: May, 2016 |    No of Pages: 71 |  Published By: BMI Commercial Banking | Format: PDF
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BMIís commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMIís independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sectorís total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMIís analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMIís unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk teamís unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators . 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, February 2016 . . . 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) . 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 . . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 . . . 8
SWOT ...... 9
Commercial Banking .... 9
Political . 11
Economic ........ 12
Operational Risk ....... 13
Industry Forecast .. 14
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index ........ 19
Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index ...... 19
Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . . . 20
Market Overview ... 21
Developed States Commercial Banking Outlook .. 21
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 21
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 21
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (USDbn) . . . . 22
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 . 23
Economic Analysis ..... 24
Competitive Landscape . 27
Market Structure ....... 27
Protagonists ... 27
Table: Protagonists In The US Commercial Banking Sector 27
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe ........ 28
List Of Banks .. 28
Table: Top 50 Bank Holding Companies In Terms Of Total Domestic Deposits 28
Company Profile .... 30
Bank of America ........ 30
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 33
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 33
Table: Key Ratios (%) 33
Citigroup ........ 34
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 36
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 36
Table: Key Ratios (%) 37
JPMorgan Chase ....... 38
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
US Bancorp ..... 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 45
Table: Key Ratios (%) 45
Wells Fargo ..... 46
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 48
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 48
Table: Key Ratios (%) 49
Global Industry Overview ........ 50
Industry Forecast ...... 50
The Reserves Penalty  50
Mixed Results So Far  53
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? .... 58
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent ...... 59
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 61
Demographic Forecast .. 62
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United States 1990-2025) . . . . 63
Table: Key Population Ratios (United States 1990-2025) . . . . 63
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United States 1990-2025) . 64
Table: Population By Age Group (United States 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group % (United States 1990-2025) . . 65
Methodology . 67
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 67
Sector-Specific Methodology ........ 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 69
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 71

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