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Commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMIís independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sectorís total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.Central to BMIís analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMIís unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk teamís unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.
Industry View 7Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, December 2014 7Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2014-2019 (%) 7Table: Ranking Out Of 73 Countries Reviewed In 2015 8Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2012-2019 8SWOT 9Commercial Banking 9Political 10Economic 11Operational Risk 12Industry Forecast 13Industry Risk Reward Ratings 18Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 18Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19Market Overview 20Developed States Commercial Banking Outlook 20Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 20Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios, 2015 20Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (USDbn) 21Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2015 21Economic Analysis 22Table: Economic Activity (United States 2009-2018) 28Competitive Landscape 29Market Structure 29Protagonists 29Table: Protagonists In The US Commercial Banking Sector 29Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 30List Of Banks 30Table: Top 50 Bank Holding Companies In Terms Of Total Domestic Deposits 30Company Profile 32Bank of America 32Table: Stock Market Indicators 35Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 35Table: Key Ratios (%) 35Citigroup 36Table: Stock Market Indicators 39Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 39Table: Key Ratios (%) 39JPMorgan Chase 40Table: Stock Market Indicators 43Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 43Table: Key Ratios (%) 43US Bancorp 44Table: Stock Market Indicators 47Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47Table: Key Ratios (%) 48Wells Fargo 49Table: Stock Market Indicators 51Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 51Table: Key Ratios (%) 52Global Industry Overview 53Global Commercial Banking Outlook 53EM External Corporate Debt A Potential Risk To Financial Stability 53Eurozone and US Banking Outlooks 55Emerging Market Regional Outlooks 55Demographic Forecast 60Table: Population Headline Indicators (United States 1990-2025) 61Table: Key Population Ratios (United States 1990-2025) 61Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United States 1990-2025) 62Table: Population By Age Group (United States 1990-2025) 62Table: Population By Age Group % (United States 1990-2025) 63Methodology 65Industry Forecast Methodology 65Sector-Specific Methodology 66Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 68Table: Weighting Of Indicators 69