The 2016-2021 World Outlook for Coffee

 Published On: Apr, 2015 |    No of Pages: 242 |  Published By: Icon Group International, Inc | Format: PDF
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This econometric study covers the world outlook for coffee across more than 200 countries. For each year reported, estimates are given for the latent demand, or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.), for the country in question (in millions of U.S. dollars), the percent share the country is of the region and of the globe. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a country vis-à-vis others. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each country and across countries, latent demand estimates are created. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved.

This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the 230 countries of the world).

This study gives, however, my estimates for the worldwide latent demand, or the P.I.E., for coffee. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided across the world’s regional and national markets. For each country, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time (positive or negative growth). In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on international strategic planning at graduate schools of business.

Table Of Contents:

1 INTRODUCTION 10
1.1 Overview 10
1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 10
1.3 The Methodology 11
1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 12
1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 13
1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 13
1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 13
1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 14
1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 14
1.3.7 Step 7. Latent Demand Density: Allocating Across Cities 14
1.4 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 15
1.4.1 Category Definition 15
1.4.2 Units 15
1.4.3 Methodology 16
2 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 18
2.1 The Worldwide Market Potential 18
3 AFRICA, EUROPE & THE MIDDLE EAST 20
3.1 Executive Summary 20
3.2 Afghanistan 22
3.3 Albania 23
3.4 Algeria 23
3.5 Andorra 25
3.6 Angola 25
3.7 Armenia 26
3.8 Austria 27
3.9 Azerbaijan 28
3.10 Bahrain 29
3.11 Belarus 30
3.12 Belgium 31
3.13 Benin 32
3.14 Bosnia and Herzegovina 33
3.15 Botswana 33
3.16 Bulgaria 34
3.17 Burkina Faso 35
3.18 Burundi 36
3.19 Cameroon 37
3.20 Cape Verde 38
3.21 Central African Republic 38
3.22 Chad 39
3.23 Comoros 40
3.24 Congo (formerly Zaire) 41
3.25 Cote d'Ivoire 42
3.26 Croatia 42
3.27 Cyprus 43
3.28 Czech Republic 44
3.29 Denmark 45
3.30 Djibouti 46
3.31 Egypt 46
3.32 Equatorial Guinea 47
3.33 Eritrea 48
3.34 Estonia 49
3.35 Ethiopia 49
3.36 Finland 50
3.37 France 51
3.38 Gabon 53
3.39 Georgia 53
3.40 Germany 54
3.41 Ghana 55
3.42 Greece 57
3.43 Guinea 59
3.44 Guinea-Bissau 59
3.45 Hungary 60
3.46 Iceland 61
3.47 Iran 62
3.48 Iraq 65
3.49 Ireland 66
3.50 Israel 66
3.51 Italy 67
3.52 Jordan 69
3.53 Kazakhstan 69
3.54 Kenya 71
3.55 Kosovo 73
3.56 Kuwait 73
3.57 Kyrgyzstan 74
3.58 Latvia 75
3.59 Lebanon 76
3.60 Lesotho 76
3.61 Liberia 77
3.62 Libya 78
3.63 Liechtenstein 79
3.64 Lithuania 79
3.65 Luxembourg 80
3.66 Macedonia 81
3.67 Madagascar 82
3.68 Malawi 82
3.69 Mali 83
3.70 Malta 84
3.71 Mauritania 84
3.72 Mauritius 85
3.73 Moldova 86
3.74 Monaco 86
3.75 Montenegro 87
3.76 Morocco 88
3.77 Mozambique 89
3.78 Namibia 90
3.79 Niger 90
3.80 Nigeria 91
3.81 North Sudan 93
3.82 Norway 94
3.83 Oman 95
3.84 Pakistan 96
3.85 Palestine 98
3.86 Poland 99
3.87 Portugal 101
3.88 Qatar 102
3.89 Republic of Congo 102
3.90 Romania 103
3.91 Russia 104
3.92 Rwanda 107
3.93 San Marino 107
3.94 Sao Tome E Principe 108
3.95 Saudi Arabia 109
3.96 Senegal 110
3.97 Serbia 111
3.98 Sierra Leone 112
3.99 Slovakia 112
3.100 Slovenia 113
3.101 Somalia 114
3.102 South Africa 114
3.103 South Sudan 115
3.104 Spain 116
3.105 Swaziland 118
3.106 Sweden 119
3.107 Switzerland 120
3.108 Syrian Arab Republic 121
3.109 Tajikistan 123
3.110 Tanzania 123
3.111 The Gambia 124
3.112 The Netherlands 125
3.113 The United Arab Emirates 127
3.114 The United Kingdom 127
3.115 Togo 129
3.116 Tunisia 130
3.117 Turkey 131
3.118 Turkmenistan 134
3.119 Uganda 135
3.120 Ukraine 136
3.121 Uzbekistan 138
3.122 Western Sahara 139
3.123 Yemen 140
3.124 Zambia 140
3.125 Zimbabwe 141
4 ASIA 143
4.1 Executive Summary 143
4.2 Bangladesh 145
4.3 Bhutan 147
4.4 Brunei 147
4.5 Burma 148
4.6 Cambodia 149
4.7 China 149
4.8 Hong Kong 151
4.9 India 152
4.10 Indonesia 154
4.11 Japan 156
4.12 Laos 159
4.13 Macau 160
4.14 Malaysia 161
4.15 Maldives 162
4.16 Mongolia 162
4.17 Nepal 163
4.18 North Korea 164
4.19 Papua New Guinea 165
4.20 Philippines 166
4.21 Seychelles 170
4.22 Singapore 171
4.23 South Korea 171
4.24 Sri Lanka 173
4.25 Taiwan 173
4.26 Thailand 174
4.27 Timor - Leste, Democratic Republic of 175
4.28 Vietnam 176
5 LATIN AMERICA 177
5.1 Executive Summary 177
5.2 Argentina 179
5.3 Belize 182
5.4 Bolivia 183
5.5 Brazil 184
5.6 Chile 187
5.7 Colombia 188
5.8 Costa Rica 190
5.9 Ecuador 191
5.10 El Salvador 192
5.11 Guatemala 193
5.12 Guyana 194
5.13 Honduras 194
5.14 Mexico 195
5.15 Nicaragua 197
5.16 Panama 198
5.17 Paraguay 198
5.18 Peru 199
5.19 Suriname 200
5.20 The Falkland Islands 201
5.21 Uruguay 202
5.22 Venezuela 203
6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN 205
6.1 Executive Summary 205
6.2 Antigua and Barbuda 206
6.3 Aruba 207
6.4 Barbados 207
6.5 Bermuda 208
6.6 Canada 209
6.7 Cuba 211
6.8 Dominica 212
6.9 Dominican Republic 213
6.10 Greenland 214
6.11 Grenada 215
6.12 Haiti 215
6.13 Jamaica 216
6.14 Puerto Rico 217
6.15 St. Kitts and Nevis 218
6.16 St. Lucia 218
6.17 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 219
6.18 The Bahamas 220
6.19 The British Virgin Islands 220
6.20 The Cayman Islands 221
6.21 The U.S. Virgin Islands 222
6.22 The United States 222
6.23 Trinidad and Tobago 224
7 OCEANA 225
7.1 Executive Summary 225
7.2 American Samoa 226
7.3 Australia 227
7.4 Christmas Island 228
7.5 Cook Islands 228
7.6 Fiji 229
7.7 French Polynesia 229
7.8 Guam 230
7.9 Kiribati 231
7.10 Marshall Islands 231
7.11 Micronesia Federation 232
7.12 Nauru 232
7.13 New Caledonia 233
7.14 New Zealand 234
7.15 Niue 235
7.16 Norfolk Island 235
7.17 Palau 236
7.18 Solomon Islands 236
7.19 The Northern Mariana Island 237
7.20 Tonga 238
7.21 Tuvalu 238
7.22 Vanuatu 239
7.23 Wallis and Futuna 239
7.24 Western Samoa 240
8 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 241
8.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 241
8.2 ICON Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 242

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