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View: The over-supply situation in the Chinese market, coupled with growing
Indian self-sufficiency and the ongoing eurozone crisis, will narrow the range
of markets that are capable of absorbing Thai exports, according to BMI's latest
Thailand Petrochemicals Report. As such, prices are likely to soften and margins
will come under pressure. However, Thailand's major polymer exports are likely
to account for up to a third of capacity by 2017.Petrochemicals growth
will benefit from operations at IRPC's expanded 395,000tpa monoethylene glycol
(MEG) plant, which will feed the production of polyester fibres and resins. In
terms of speciality chemicals, Mitsubishi Gas Chemical (MGC) is overseeing a
major expansion of polyacetal engineering plastic capacity at Thai Polyacetal -
with a de-bottlenecking programme raising capacity by 5,000tpa to 60,000tpa. A
second phase involves the construction of a 40,000tpa polyacetal facility, which
will raise the total at the site to 100,000tpa. Both projects were expected to
come on stream by Q114. Polyacetal has a broad range of uses as a robust polymer
used in engineering.
Industry View 7SWOT 8Political 9Economic 11Business Environment 13Industry Forecast 15Table: Thailand's Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2018 ('000tpa, unless otherwise stated) 17Macroeconomic Forecasts 18Economic Analysis 18Table: Thailand - Economic Activity 22Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 23Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings 23Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings 27Thailand Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings 27Market Overview 29Industry Trends And Developments 32Investment In Vietnam 33Company Profile 35Siam Cement Group (SCG) 35Indorama Polymers Public Company Limited (IRP PCL) 38Integrated Refinery and Petrochemicals Company (IRPC) 40PTT Global Chemical 43Regional Overview 47Asia Overview 47Short-term outlook 47Preparing for another capacity surge 49Rapid growth in Southeast 51Global Industry Overview 52A Stable 2013, Leading To Growth In 2014? 52Table: Top 10 Ethylene Producers, 2013 54Long-Term Growth 54Shale: The Future Of Feedstock? 56Threats To growth 59Global Oil Product Price Outlook 59Methodology 59Crude Price Forecasts 60Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts, Average Price (US$/bbl) 60Variance Across Product Markets 60Narrower US Market Crude-Product Spreads 63Weak Demand Persists 64Risks To Outlook 65Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecasts, US$/bbl 66Supply: Supported By Global Refining Capacity 67Naphtha: US Gas Hits Demand 70Gasoline And Gasoil/Diesel: Subsidies & Fuel Efficiency Cap Upward Movement 73Jet Fuel: Limited Upward Movement 75Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volumes 77Bunker Fuels: Sulphur Control To Hit Rotterdam Hardest 77Demographic Forecast 81Table: Thailand's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 82Table: Thailand's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 83Table: Thailand's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 84Table: Thailand's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 84Glossary 85Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 85Methodology 86Industry Forecast Methodology 86Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 88Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Rating Indicators 90Table: Weighting Of Indicators 91