Free Space Optics (FSO) Global Market Forecast and Analysis 2014-2020

 Published On: Jul, 2015 |    No of Pages: 63 |  Published By: ElectroniCast Consultants | Format: PDF
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Market Analysis of outdoor FSO Used in Non-Military/Aerospace Applications

Free Space Optics (FSO) is a line-of-sight (LOS) technology that uses directed laser beams, which provide optical bandwidth Transmitters and Receivers to link voice, video, and data intelligent transfer. A single FSO link product (from point A to point B) often may incorporate multiple transmitters along with receiver/s to ensure adequate performance, in case of interference.

This ElectroniCast Executive Study Service report provides an analysis and market consumption forecast of transmitter/receiver links used in non-military/aerospace stationary free space optical communication links. This report does not include all of the other parts that compose of the entire FSO system equipment, such as the mounting brackets, mux/demux, drivers, switches, amplifiers, wire/connectors, installation/service, etc.

The 2014-2020 forecast is presented for FSO Transmitter/Receiver (pair) link devices, segmented by distance and data-rate throughput, as detailed in Table 1. The forecast for each selected FSO link device, in turn, is segmented by geographic region:

• America (North America, Central and South America)
• EMEA (Europe, Middle Eastern countries, plus Africa)
• APAC (Asia Pacific)

The market forecast data are segmented by the following functions:

• Consumption Value (US$, million)
• Quantity (number/units)
• Average Selling Prices (ASP $, T/R Pair)

Table 1
Market Data Category List by Distance/Meters and by Throughput/Mbps

500 Meters or Less
156 Mbps or Lower
Higher Than 156 Mbps

More Than 500 Meters
156 Mbps or Lower
Higher Than 156 Mbps

Free Space Optics: Market Forecast by Region According to ElectroniCast, the worldwide consumption value of FSO Transmitter/Receiver Link Devices used in stationary non-military/ aerospace applications was $37.23 million in 2014. EMEA held a slight lead in terms of relative market share in 2014. The increase in the consumption of FSO links in the America region will be attributed to not only continued upgrades and network facilitation in the United States and Canada, but partly from the accelerating economic growth of major cities in Latin America. Other market dynamics in the American region are increases in communication links needed for growing infrastructures, such as mass transit, security systems, broadcast and telecommunications.

European inner-city urban areas typically are difficult for wire-lines, including optical fiber cable installations; therefore, this fact promotes FSO or other wireless solutions. The APAC region has advanced communication technology deployed especially in Japan; however, other countries, such as Australia, China and India, are not as advanced in campus-wide and metropolitan optical communication deployment.

The APAC region has rapidly expanding market opportunities and therefore, our forecast shows the region with the fastest growth (2014-2020), with the region taking over the leadership position later on in the forecast period.

The market forecast data in this study report refers to consumption (use) for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative data.

Research Methodology Market analysis and technology forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief creates a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces. The future market for a particular type of optical wireless product category depends on a number of factors, including:

- User equipment demand (telecommunication, data network, military/ aerospace and instrumentation) for optoelectronics (receivers, transmitters, transceivers), passive optical components (couplers/splitters, isolators, DWDM components and others (, connectors and of cable).
- The continuing trend of digital machines to higher speed and complexity, with increasing performance/cost ratio, driving an economics based expansion of their use.
- Displacement of previous transmission technologies, such as copper lines and microwave, by fiber optics, based on economic advantage and technology advancement.
- Possible displacement of these transmission technologies by other solutions, such as wireless/cellular and digital direct broadcast satellite (DBS and VSAT).
- Installation costs of wireless and wire-line networks or links.
- Costs relative to licensing and Right-of-Way concerns
- Shifts in the types and technologies of fiber optic/photonic components deployed, including discrete optoelectronics evolving to hybrid, evolving in turn to monolithic, and in their end applications.
- Trends in world economies, regional economies and government policies.

This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated through the July 2015. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed primary research interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the fiber optics industry plus telecommunications, datacom, military/aerospace and other communication industries, instrumentation/laboratory – R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of communication link products. The interviews were conducted principally with:

- Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of free space optics (FSO) system equipment, components and support equipment, as well as laser diodes and photodiodes, application-specific ICs, packages and cables, substrate materials, optical waveguide and other components used in the fabrication of optoelectronic transceivers, cable assemblies and installation apparatus

- Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of cable, cable assemblies, connectors, installation apparatus, passive devices and transceivers, such as telecommunication transmission, switching and distribution equipment producers, data communications equipment producers (switches, hubs, routers), computer and workstation producers, weapon system, aircraft and spacecraft electronic equipment producers, optical instrumentation system producers and others.

- Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments.

The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. Customers also were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid, as a crosscheck of vendor estimates. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained.

The analyst then considered customer expectations of near term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.

A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:

- Professional technical journals and papers; Trade press articles
- Technical conference proceedings; Product literature
- Company profile and financial information
- Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies
- Personal knowledge of the research team.

In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the North American and other world region markets for optical interconnect products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.

ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data base structure are developed initially at the lowest detail level, and then summed to successively higher levels. Background market research focuses on the amount of each selected data-rate capability range within each selected distance capability range of product used in each Region in the base year (2014), and the prices paid. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each product category, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward digital broadband communication equipment usage and economic payback.

Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy The quantities of transmitter/receiver link devices used in non-military/aerospace fixed-location (stationary) Free Space Optic (FSO) optical wireless system equipment systems, as well as the use of fiber optic cable, connectors, transceivers, transport terminals, optical add/drop MUX, photonic switches and other products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each fiber optic related product field, accurate current quantity estimates in each application are part of this corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a “sanity check.

Table of Contents

Market Acceptance of Free Space Optics
Mobile Backhaul
Alternative Technical Redundancy
Connecting Investment/Stock Exchanges
RF/FSO Automatic Backup System Layout Design
FSO Product Examples
Optelix / Ansys Ltd
LightPointe Communications
Canon U.S.A./Molex
Uncompressed HD-SDI Video
Free Space Optics: Market Forecast by Region
Countries in Asia-Pacific region
Free Space Optics: Market Forecast by Link Length
Line of Sight Challenges
Common Use of Free Space Optic Links
Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI)
FSO Architectures (Point-to-Point, Mesh, Point-to-Multi-Point)
Pros/Cons of FSO Implementation
Free Space Optics: Market Forecast by Data-Rate and Distance
FSO Competition: Analysis
AOptix Technologies, Inc
LightPointe Communications
Polewall AS
Focus on short haul urban densification applications
SCHOTT Corporation
SkyFiber, Inc.
Wireless Excellence/CableFree
Competitive Market Share Estimates
LAN/MAN/WAN Overview
Free Space optics Illustration
Technology Life Cycle
Global Summary and Regional Market Forecast (Excel Spreadsheets)
Global Market Forecast
America Market Forecast
EMEA Market Forecast
APAC Market Forecast
Research Methodology Explanation

List of Tables

Market Data Category List by Distance/Meters and by Throughput/Mbps
FSO Links in Non-Military/Aerospace Market Forecast, By Region ($ Million)
FSO Links in Non-Military/Aerospace Market Forecast, By Distance ($ Million)
FSO Links in Non-Military/Aerospace Market Forecast, By Distance (Quantity)
Free Space Optic Solutions: Pros and Cons
FSO 500 Meters or Less (Non-Military/Aerospace) Forecast, By Data-Rate
FSO More Than 500 Meters (Non-Military/Aerospace) Forecast, By Data-Rate
2014 Competitive Market Share (%) Estimates
Migration or Upgrade Scenarios to Gigabit Ethernet
Global Market Forecast: ElectroniCast Detailed Database
America Market Forecast: ElectroniCast Detailed Database
EMEA Market Forecast: ElectroniCast Detailed Database
APAC Market Forecast: ElectroniCast Detailed Database

List of Figures

RF/FSO Automatic Backup System Layout Design
1500 Meter Range Gigabit Connectivity Free Space Optic Unit
1250 Mbps / 2800 Meters FSO Link
25-156 Mbps/ 20-50 Meters FSO Link
Configuration Layout Example - Video FSO Link (1,000 Meters at 1.485 Gbps)
FSO Architectures
FSO/RF Hybrid Wireless Transport Product
FSO/RF Hybrid Wireless Transport Product
FSO Installed on Rooftop
FSO System (2000–5000 meters)
Carrier-Grade Gigabit Capacity/4-Beam Auto-Tracking FSO Link
10 Gbit/s FSO
Short to Medium Range 10/100 Mbps Connectivity Free Space Optic Unit
Small Foot Print FSO Unit
FSO - Homes Connected
Free Space Optics Unit
Free Space Optics Unit
FSO Deployment Example (Full Duplex 1 Gbps Link)
Evolution of Research Emphasis During Technology Life Cycle
ElectroniCast Market Research & Forecasting Methodology

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