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This econometric study covers the latent demand outlook for frozen bagels across the prefectures and cities of Japan. Latent demand (in millions of U.S. dollars), or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.) estimates are given across some 1,000 cities in Japan. This statistical approach can prove very useful to distribution and/or sales force strategies. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each prefecture and city, latent demand estimates are created for frozen bagels. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved. This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the cities in Japan). This study gives, however, my estimates for the latent demand, or the P.I.E., for frozen bagels in Japan. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided and concentrated across the cities and regional markets of Japan.
Table Of Contents: 1 INTRODUCTION 101.1 Overview 101.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 101.3 The Methodology 111.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 121.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 131.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 131.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 131.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 141.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 141.4 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 151.4.1 Category Definition 151.4.2 Units 151.4.3 Methodology 162 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 182.1 The Latent Demand in Japan 182.2 Top 100 Cities Sorted by Rank 213 AICHI 243.1 Latent Demand by Year - Aichi 243.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Aichi 253.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Aichi 284 AKITA 304.1 Latent Demand by Year - Akita 304.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Akita 314.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Akita 335 AOMORI 345.1 Latent Demand by Year - Aomori 345.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Aomori 355.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Aomori 366 CHIBA 376.1 Latent Demand by Year - Chiba 376.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Chiba 386.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Chiba 407 EHIME 417.1 Latent Demand by Year - Ehime 417.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Ehime 427.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Ehime 448 FUKUI 458.1 Latent Demand by Year - Fukui 458.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Fukui 468.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Fukui 479 FUKUOKA 489.1 Latent Demand by Year - Fukuoka 489.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Fukuoka 499.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Fukuoka 5110 FUKUSHIMA 5210.1 Latent Demand by Year - Fukushima 5210.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Fukushima 5310.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Fukushima 5511 GIFU 5611.1 Latent Demand by Year - Gifu 5611.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Gifu 5711.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Gifu 5912 GUMMA 6012.1 Latent Demand by Year - Gumma 6012.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Gumma 6112.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Gumma 6313 HIROSHIMA 6413.1 Latent Demand by Year - Hiroshima 6413.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hiroshima 6513.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Hiroshima 6714 HOKKAIDO 6814.1 Latent Demand by Year - Hokkaido 6814.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hokkaido 6914.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Hokkaido 7115 HYOGO 7215.1 Latent Demand by Year - Hyogo 7215.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Hyogo 7315.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Hyogo 7516 IBARAKI 7616.1 Latent Demand by Year - Ibaraki 7616.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Ibaraki 7716.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Ibaraki 7917 ISHIKAWA 8017.1 Latent Demand by Year - Ishikawa 8017.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Ishikawa 8117.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Ishikawa 8318 IWATE 8418.1 Latent Demand by Year - Iwate 8418.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Iwate 8518.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Iwate 8719 KAGAWA 8819.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kagawa 8819.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kagawa 8919.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kagawa 9020 KAGOSHIMA 9120.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kagoshima 9120.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kagoshima 9220.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kagoshima 9421 KANAGAWA 9521.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kanagawa 9521.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kanagawa 9621.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kanagawa 9822 KOCHI 9922.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kochi 9922.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kochi 10022.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kochi 10123 KUMAMOTO 10223.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kumamoto 10223.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kumamoto 10323.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kumamoto 10524 KYOTO 10624.1 Latent Demand by Year - Kyoto 10624.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Kyoto 10724.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Kyoto 10925 MIE 11025.1 Latent Demand by Year - Mie 11025.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Mie 11125.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Mie 11326 MIYAGI 11426.1 Latent Demand by Year - Miyagi 11426.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Miyagi 11526.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Miyagi 11727 MIYAZAKI 11827.1 Latent Demand by Year - Miyazaki 11827.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Miyazaki 11927.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Miyazaki 12128 NAGANO 12228.1 Latent Demand by Year - Nagano 12228.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Nagano 12328.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Nagano 12529 NAGASAKI 12629.1 Latent Demand by Year - Nagasaki 12629.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Nagasaki 12729.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Nagasaki 12930 NARA 13030.1 Latent Demand by Year - Nara 13030.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Nara 13130.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Nara 13331 NIIGATA 13431.1 Latent Demand by Year - Niigata 13431.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Niigata 13531.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Niigata 13732 OITA 13832.1 Latent Demand by Year - Oita 13832.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Oita 13932.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Oita 14133 OKAYAMA 14233.1 Latent Demand by Year - Okayama 14233.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Okayama 14333.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Okayama 14534 OKINAWA 14634.1 Latent Demand by Year - Okinawa 14634.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Okinawa 14734.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Okinawa 14935 OSAKA 15035.1 Latent Demand by Year - Osaka 15035.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Osaka 15135.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Osaka 15336 SAGA 15436.1 Latent Demand by Year - Saga 15436.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Saga 15536.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Saga 15637 SAITAMA 15737.1 Latent Demand by Year - Saitama 15737.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Saitama 15837.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Saitama 16138 SHIGA 16338.1 Latent Demand by Year - Shiga 16338.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Shiga 16438.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Shiga 16639 SHIMANE 16739.1 Latent Demand by Year - Shimane 16739.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Shimane 16839.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Shimane 16940 SHIZUOKA 17040.1 Latent Demand by Year - Shizuoka 17040.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Shizuoka 17140.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Shizuoka 17341 TOCHIGI 17441.1 Latent Demand by Year - Tochigi 17441.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Tochigi 17541.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Tochigi 17742 TOKUSHIMA 17842.1 Latent Demand by Year - Tokushima 17842.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Tokushima 17942.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Tokushima 18043 TOKYO 18143.1 Latent Demand by Year - Tokyo 18143.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Tokyo 18243.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Tokyo 18444 TOTTORI 18544.1 Latent Demand by Year - Tottori 18544.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Tottori 18644.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Tottori 18645 TOYAMA 18745.1 Latent Demand by Year - Toyama 18745.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Toyama 18845.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Toyama 19046 WAKAYAMA 19146.1 Latent Demand by Year - Wakayama 19146.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Wakayama 19246.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Wakayama 19347 YAMAGATA 19447.1 Latent Demand by Year - Yamagata 19447.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Yamagata 19547.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Yamagata 19748 YAMAGUCHI 19848.1 Latent Demand by Year - Yamaguchi 19848.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Yamaguchi 19948.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Yamaguchi 20149 YAMANASHI 20249.1 Latent Demand by Year - Yamanashi 20249.2 Cities Sorted by Rank - Yamanashi 20349.3 Cities Sorted Alphabetically - Yamanashi 20550 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 20650.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 20650.2 ICON Group International, Inc. 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