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MARKET REPORT DETAIL

Specialty Fuel Additives to 2016

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Published by Freedonia Group,Inc :
Published Date: Apr, 2012
Format: PDF
No of Pages: 211
 
 
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  • Abstract
  • Table of Contents

US demand to reach $1.6 billion in 2016
The US specialty fuel additive market will rise at a healthy pace, reaching $1.6 billion by 2016. Advances will be driven by a rebound in petroleum fuel demand as the economic recovery continues to strengthen, and an increase in additive rates due to greater biofuel consumption as mandated by the federal government. Additionally, market growth will reflect further price inflation, though at a slower pace than during the 2006- 2011 period.

Going forward, government regulations will play a significant role in the demand for specialty fuel additives. The EPA will raise the amount of biodiesel and ethanol usage in the fuel supply in an effort to meet the requirements of the Renewable Fuel Standard 2 (RFS2). These biofuels require the usage of different specialty fuel additives. For example, the EPA’s move to allow up to 15 percent ethanol blends in gasoline will stimulate corrosion inhibitor demand.

Deposit control agents to remain largest segment
Some of the biggest impacts of the RFS2 regulations will be in the diesel additive segment. Cold flow improvers will grow at the fastest rate relative to other fuel additives due to the rising use of biodiesel. Biodiesel’s reduced functionality in diesel engines in winter conditions requires higher loadings of cold flow improvers. However, biodiesel’s high cetane number and excellent lubricity will also contribute to a reduction in the demand for lubricity improvers and cetane improvers. Overall, diesel additive volume demand will rise through 2021 due to increasing diesel fuel demand as the expanding economy leads to more goods shipping and more fuel-efficient passenger diesel cars entering the market.

Increased biofuel consumption will also impact gasoline additives. Corrosion inhibitors will grow at a pace slightly above average, reflecting ethanol’s increasing usage in the gasoline supply. Deposit control agents will remain the largest product segment, though annual increases will be modest. A previous attempt by the EPA to regulate detergent levels in gasoline actually resulted in a fall in demand, causing deposit-related engine problems. This prompted several automakers to establish the Top Tier Detergent Gasoline standard in 2004. Deposit control demand rebounded quickly as most major gasoline brands adopted the Top Tier standard. Through 2016, the modest growth in this segment will be driven by recent retailer efforts to differentiate their products to customers by promoting the high concentrations of detergents in their gasoline.

Blender & terminal additive demand to continue growth
From a market perspective, blender and terminal additive demand will continue to grow at the expense of the refinery market as the industry continues to shift toward more independent and customized refinery operations. The efforts of smaller fuel retailers to boost detergent levels as part of their marketing strategy will also favor growing demand in the blender and terminal market, as will greater biodiesel consumption. This latter trend will also lead to more cold flow improver being added at the blender and terminal level. Though much smaller than the blender and terminal market, aftermarket demand will grow at the fastest pace as customers try to offset higher fuel costs by maintaining the internal cleanliness of their engines. Rising aftermarket demand will also reflect a decision by some retailers to let consumers buy additives at the pump.

Study coverage
This upcoming Freedonia industry study, Specialty Fuel Additives, is available for $4800. It presents historical demand data for the years 2001, 2006 and 2011, plus forecasts for 2016 and 2021 by additive type, market and application. The study also considers key market environment factors, assesses company market share and profiles active competitors in the US industry.

INTRODUCTION viii

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1

II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT 4
General 4
Macroeconomic Overview 4
Motor Vehicle Industry Overview 8
Historical Market Trends 11
Pricing Trends 15
Technology 17
Gasoline Engines 18
Diesel Engines 21
Hybrids & Electric Vehicles 23
Fuels 24
International Activity 27
Environmental & Regulatory Issues 28
Gasoline Regulations 31
Tier 2 Standards 32
Mobile Source Air Toxics (MSAT) Reduction 33
Detergent Rule 33
Oxygenates 34
Reformulated Gasoline (RFG) Program 35
Diesel Fuel Regulations 36
Renewable Fuels Legislation 37
CAFE Standards 39

III. FUEL INDUSTRY OVERVIEW 41
Crude Oil & Refined Petroleum Products Outlook 41
Fuel Demand 43
Gasoline 44
Demand by Grade 46
Demand by Formulation 48
Distillate Fuel 50
Diesel Fuel 51
Other Distillate Fuel 53
Jet Fuel 54
Residual Fuel 55
Alternative Fuels & Energy Threats 56
Ethanol 57
Biodiesel 57
Natural Gas 58
Propane 59
Electricity 59
Other Energy Threats 60
Commodity Fuel Additive Outlook 62
Ethanol 64
Biodiesel 67
Other Commodity Fuel Additives 70

IV. SPECIALTY FUEL ADDITIVES BY TYPE 72
General 72
Deposit Control Additives 76
Detergents 79
Other Deposit Control Additives 84
Cetane Improvers 86
Antioxidants 90
Lubricity Improvers 93
Cold Flow Improvers 95
Petroleum Dyes & Markers 98
Corrosion Inhibitors 101
Metal Deactivators 104
Other Specialty Fuel Additives 106
Octane Enhancers 107
Biocides 109
All Other 110

V. SPECIALTY FUEL ADDITIVES BY APPLICATION
& MARKET 114
General 114
Applications 115
Gasoline Additives 116
Regular & Midgrade Gasoline Additives 119
Premium Gasoline Additives 121
Diesel Fuel Additives 123
Other Fuel Applications 128
Markets 129
Blenders & Terminals 132
Refiners 134
Aftermarket 136

VI. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 141
General 141
Market Share 144
Competitive Strategies 148
Marketing & Distribution 150
Merger & Acquisition Activity 151
Cooperative Agreements 153
Company Profiles 155
Afton Chemical, see NewMarket
Albemarle Corporation 156
Armored AutoGroup Incorporated 157
Ashland Incorporated 159
Baker Hughes Incorporated 161
BASF SE 163
Berkshire Hathaway Incorporated 165
Buckman Laboratories International Incorporated 167
Champion Technologies Incorporated 168
Chemtura Corporation 169
Chevron Corporation 170
Clorox Company 172
ConocoPhillips 173
Dorf Ketal Chemicals I Pvt Limited 174
Dover Chemical, see ICC Industries
Dow Chemical Company 176
DuPont (EI) de Nemours 178
Ecolab Incorporated 180
EPC Groupe, see Société Anonyme d'Explosifs et de Produits Chimiques
Ethyl, see NewMarket
EURENCO, see Groupe SNPE
Evonik Industries AG 182
Exxon Mobil Corporation 184
Groupe SNPE 186
Huntsman Corporation 187
ICC Industries Incorporated 188
Illinois Tool Works Incorporated 189
Infineum International, see Exxon Mobil and Royal Dutch Shell
Innospec Incorporated 192
Lubrizol, see Berkshire Hathaway
LyondellBasell Industries NV 196
Motiva Enterprises, see Royal Dutch Shell
Nalco Holding, see Ecolab
NewMarket Corporation 198
Parker-Hannifin Corporation 200
Rohm and Haas, see Dow Chemical
Royal Dutch Shell plc 202
Sabina Petrochemicals, see BASF
Société Anonyme d'Explosifs et de Produits
Chimiques SA 205
Soltex Incorporated 206
Stepan Company 207
TPC Group Incorporated 208
Valvoline International, see Ashland
Warren Oil Company Incorporated 210

LIST OF TABLES

SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Summary Table 3

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 Macroeconomic Indicators 8
2 Motor Vehicle Indicators 11
3 Specialty Fuel Additive Market, 2001-2011 14
4 Specialty Fuel Additive Prices 17

SECTION III -- FUEL INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
1 Petroleum Industry Outlook 43
2 Petroleum Fuel Supply & Demand 44
3 Gasoline Supply & Demand 46
4 Gasoline Demand by Grade & Formulation 50
5 Distillate Fuel Supply & Demand 51
6 Diesel Fuel Demand by Sulfur Content 53
7 Jet Fuel Supply & Demand 55
8 Residual Fuel Supply & Demand 56
9 Commodity Fuel Additive Demand 64

SECTION IV -- SPECIALTY FUEL ADDITIVES BY TYPE
1 Specialty Fuel Additive Demand by Type 74
2 Deposit Control Additive Demand 78
3 Fuel Detergent Demand 82
4 Other Deposit Control Additive Demand 86
5 Cetane Improver Demand 89
6 Antioxidant Demand 92
7 Lubricity Improver Demand 95
8 Cold Flow Improver Demand 98
9 Petroleum Dye & Marker Demand 101
10 Corrosion Inhibitor Demand 103
11 Metal Deactivator Demand 105
12 Other Specialty Fuel Additive Demand 107

SECTION V -- SPECIALTY FUEL ADDITIVES BY APPLICATION & MARKET
1 Specialty Fuel Additive Demand by Application 116
2 Gasoline Additive Demand 118
3 Regular & Midgrade Gasoline Additive Demand 121
4 Premium Gasoline Additive Demand 123
5 Diesel Fuel Additive Demand 127
6 Other Fuel Additive Demand 129
7 Specialty Fuel Additive Demand by Market 131
8 Blender & Terminal Fuel Additive Demand 134
9 Refiner Fuel Additive Demand 136
10 Aftermarket Fuel Additive Demand 140

SECTION VI -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 Specialty Fuel Additive Sales by Company, 2011 142
2 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures 153
3 Selected Cooperative Agreements 155

LIST OF CHARTS

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 Specialty Fuel Additive Market, 2001-2011 15

SECTION IV -- SPECIALTY FUEL ADDITIVES BY TYPE
1 Specialty Fuel Additive Demand, 2011: Value Versus Volume 75

SECTION V -- SPECIALTY FUEL ADDITIVES BY APPLICATION & MARKET
1 Gasoline Additive Demand by Type, 2011 119
2 Diesel Additive Demand by Type, 2011 128
3 Fuel Distribution Flowchart 131

SECTION VI -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 Specialty Fuel Additive Market Share, 2011 144

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