Philippines Mining Report

 Published On: Feb, 2016 |    No of Pages: 50 |  Published By: BMI Mining | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Mining output in the Philippines will continue to be severely affected by softening of Chinese demand for key mined metals, including nickel, copper and gold. Weakness in global prices for these minerals will deter investment in Philippines mining in the short-term; however, we maintain that the industry is well positioned for longer term growth as foreign miners look to take advantage of the country's sizeable and relatively untapped deposits, as well as low operating costs.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
■ We have revised our production forecasts for Philippines metals production downwards in reflection of a sharper than expected fall in price levels for a number of commodities and the subsequent scaling back of domestic output. Philippines nickel production fell by more than 24% during the first 10 months of 2015, according to Bloomberg data, due to a collapse in Chinese demand, and we expect output to contract by about 6% in 2016.
 

BMI Industry View . 7
Table: PHILIPPINES MINING INDUSTRY VALUE FORECAST (2015-2020) . . 7
SWOT .. 8
Industry Forecast  10
Copper: Output To Slip Further On Price Weakness ...... 10
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Philippines 2013-2020) . . . . . 10
Gold: Price Levels To Stunt Development . 13
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Philippines 2013-2020) . 13
Table: Philippines - Gold Mining Projects . . . . 15
Nickel: Collapse In Chinese Demand To Hit Output ....... 16
Table: Nickel Production Forecast (Philippines 2013-2020) . . . . . . 16
Industry Risk Reward Ratings  20
Philippines Risk/Reward Index ..... 20
Rewards ... 20
Industry Rewards . 20
Country Rewards . 20
Risks ........ 21
Industry Risks ...... 21
Country Risks ...... 22
Table: Mining Industry Forecasts (Philippines 2013-2020) 22
Asia - Risk/Reward Index .. 23
Table: Asia - Mining Risk/Reward Index . . . . . . 25
Regulatory Development ........ 26
Tax Regime ......... 26
Regulatory Inconsistencies To Cause Complications ..... 27
Social Stability To Remain A Concern .... 27
Table: Philippines Political Overview . . 28
Commodities Forecast . 29
Commodities Outlook ....... 29
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts . . . . . 29
Competitive Landscape  30
Table: Philippines - Largest Listed Mining Companies . . . . . 31
Company Profile .. 32
Nickel Asia . 32
Table: Nickel Asia - Key Financial Data . . . . . . 35
Philex Mining Corporation  36
Table: Philex Mining - Key Financial Data . . . 38
Semirara Mining Corporation (SMC) ...... 39
Table: Semimara Mining - Key Financial Data . . . . . . 41
Regional Overview ........ 42
Asia Mining: The Four Key Themes ........ 42
Key Themes ........ 42
Australia To Dominate Iron Ore Sector .. 42
Indian Coal Consumption To Remain Solid ....... 43
Weak Chinese Demand To Keep Prices Low ...... 44
Indonesian Ban Moderation Increasingly Likely . 45
Methodology ........ 47
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 47
Sources .... 48
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 49
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . . 50

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