Poland Mining Report

 Published On: Sep, 2016 |    No of Pages: 42 |  Published By: BMI Mining | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Growth in the Polish mining sector will be modest over the coming  years. The coal sector will be overhauled as the government seeks to restructure  unprofitable mines. Copper output will struggle as falling copper ore grades and  weak prices are set to hinder growth. Nevertheless, the rate of growth we  forecast indicates that the country will remain one of the most significant  players in the European coal, silver and copper markets.
 
 Latest Developments And Structural Trends
 -We expect only modest growth in Poland's copper sector over the coming years as  weak copper prices and declining ore grades coalesce to deter investment in the  sector. We expect copper production in the country to reach 470kt by 2020, an  average annual growth rate of 1.8% y-o-y from 2015.
 -In March 2016 it was announced that Poland's Finance Ministry could lower to  1bn zlotys (USD262.2mn) the mining tax paid almost solely by state-controlled  copper producer KGHM. The levy introduced in 2012 weighs heavily on KGHM,  Europe's second biggest copper producer, given falling metal prices.


BMI Industry View ... 5
Table: Poland - Mining Industry Value . . . . 5
SWOT ...... 7
Industry Forecast .... 9
Coal: PGG To Drive Growth .. 9
Latest Developments ... 9
Table: Coal Production (Poland 2007-2020) . . 9
Table: Poland - New Coal Projects . . 10
Structural Trends ..... 10
Copper: No New Entrants .... 14
Key Developments .... 14
Table: Poland - Selected Copper Projects 15
Structural Trends ..... 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index ... 18
Poland Risk/Reward Index ... 18
Rewards ........ 18
Risks .... 18
Europe: Risk/Reward Index .. 19
Table: Europe - Mining Risk/Reward Index . . . 20
Regulatory Development ........ 21
Commodities Forecast .. 25
Commodities Outlook . 25
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts . . . . 25
Competitive Landscape . 27
Table: Poland - Major Mining & Metals Companies - Financial Data 27
Company Profile .... 28
Jastrzebska Spoléka Weglowa (JSW) 28
Table: JSW - Key Financial Data . . . . 30
Regional Overview 32
Methodology . 39
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 39
Sources 40
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 41
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 42
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