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View: Growth in the Polish mining sector will be modest over the coming
years. The coal sector will be
overhauled as the government seeks to restructure
unprofitable mines. Copper output
will struggle as falling copper ore grades and
weak prices are set to hinder
growth. Nevertheless, the rate of growth we
forecast indicates that the country
will remain one of the most significant
players in the European coal, silver
and copper markets.
Latest Developments And Structural
-We expect only modest growth in
Poland's copper sector over the coming years as
weak copper prices and declining ore
grades coalesce to deter investment in the
sector. We expect copper production
in the country to reach 470kt by 2020, an
average annual growth rate of 1.8%
y-o-y from 2015.
-In March 2016 it was announced that
Poland's Finance Ministry could lower to
1bn zlotys (USD262.2mn) the mining
tax paid almost solely by state-controlled
copper producer KGHM. The levy
introduced in 2012 weighs heavily on KGHM,
Europe's second biggest copper
producer, given falling metal prices.