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This econometric study covers the world outlook for aluminum sheet metal work and dust-collection ducts across more than 200 countries. For each year reported, estimates are given for the latent demand, or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.), for the country in question (in millions of U.S. dollars), the percent share the country is of the region and of the globe. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a country vis-à-vis others. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each country and across countries, latent demand estimates are created. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved. This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the 230 countries of the world). This study gives, however, my estimates for the worldwide latent demand, or the P.I.E., for aluminum sheet metal work and dust-collection ducts. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided across the world’s regional and national markets. For each country, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time (positive or negative growth). In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on international strategic planning at graduate schools of business.
Table Of Contents: 1 INTRODUCTION 101.1 Overview 101.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 101.3 The Methodology 111.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 121.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 131.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 131.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 141.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 141.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 151.3.7 Step 7. Latent Demand Density: Allocating Across Cities 151.4 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 151.4.1 Category Definition 151.4.2 Units 151.4.3 Methodology 172 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 192.1 The Worldwide Market Potential 193 AFRICA 213.1 Executive Summary 213.2 Algeria 233.3 Angola 253.4 Benin 253.5 Botswana 263.6 Burkina Faso 273.7 Burundi 283.8 Cameroon 293.9 Cape Verde 303.10 Central African Republic 303.11 Chad 313.12 Comoros 323.13 Congo (formerly Zaire) 333.14 Cote d'Ivoire 343.15 Djibouti 343.16 Egypt 353.17 Equatorial Guinea 363.18 Eritrea 373.19 Ethiopia 383.20 Gabon 393.21 Ghana 393.22 Guinea 413.23 Guinea-Bissau 413.24 Kenya 423.25 Lesotho 443.26 Liberia 453.27 Libya 453.28 Madagascar 463.29 Malawi 473.30 Mali 473.31 Mauritania 483.32 Mauritius 493.33 Morocco 493.34 Mozambique 503.35 Namibia 513.36 Niger 523.37 Nigeria 533.38 North Sudan 553.39 Republic of Congo 563.40 Rwanda 573.41 Sao Tome E Principe 573.42 Senegal 583.43 Sierra Leone 593.44 Somalia 593.45 South Africa 603.46 South Sudan 613.47 Swaziland 623.48 Tanzania 623.49 The Gambia 633.50 Togo 643.51 Tunisia 653.52 Uganda 663.53 Western Sahara 673.54 Zambia 673.55 Zimbabwe 684 ASIA 704.1 Executive Summary 704.2 Bangladesh 724.3 Bhutan 744.4 Brunei 744.5 Burma 754.6 Cambodia 764.7 China 764.8 Hong Kong 784.9 India 794.10 Indonesia 814.11 Japan 834.12 Laos 864.13 Macau 874.14 Malaysia 884.15 Maldives 894.16 Mongolia 894.17 Nepal 904.18 North Korea 914.19 Papua New Guinea 924.20 Philippines 934.21 Seychelles 974.22 Singapore 984.23 South Korea 984.24 Sri Lanka 1004.25 Taiwan 1004.26 Thailand 1014.27 Timor - Leste, Democratic Republic of 1024.28 Vietnam 1035 EUROPE & THE MIDDLE EAST 1045.1 Executive Summary 1045.2 Afghanistan 1065.3 Albania 1075.4 Andorra 1075.5 Armenia 1085.6 Austria 1095.7 Azerbaijan 1105.8 Bahrain 1115.9 Belarus 1115.10 Belgium 1125.11 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1135.12 Bulgaria 1145.13 Croatia 1155.14 Cyprus 1155.15 Czech Republic 1165.16 Denmark 1175.17 Estonia 1185.18 Finland 1195.19 France 1205.20 Georgia 1225.21 Germany 1225.22 Greece 1235.23 Hungary 1255.24 Iceland 1265.25 Iran 1275.26 Iraq 1305.27 Ireland 1315.28 Israel 1315.29 Italy 1325.30 Jordan 1345.31 Kazakhstan 1345.32 Kosovo 1365.33 Kuwait 1365.34 Kyrgyzstan 1375.35 Latvia 1385.36 Lebanon 1395.37 Liechtenstein 1395.38 Lithuania 1405.39 Luxembourg 1415.40 Macedonia 1415.41 Malta 1425.42 Moldova 1435.43 Monaco 1435.44 Montenegro 1445.45 Norway 1455.46 Oman 1465.47 Pakistan 1465.48 Palestine 1485.49 Poland 1495.50 Portugal 1515.51 Qatar 1525.52 Romania 1525.53 Russia 1535.54 San Marino 1565.55 Saudi Arabia 1565.56 Serbia 1575.57 Slovakia 1585.58 Slovenia 1595.59 Spain 1605.60 Sweden 1625.61 Switzerland 1635.62 Syrian Arab Republic 1645.63 Tajikistan 1665.64 The Netherlands 1665.65 The United Arab Emirates 1685.66 The United Kingdom 1685.67 Turkey 1705.68 Turkmenistan 1735.69 Ukraine 1745.70 Uzbekistan 1765.71 Yemen 1776 LATIN AMERICA 1796.1 Executive Summary 1796.2 Argentina 1816.3 Belize 1846.4 Bolivia 1856.5 Brazil 1866.6 Chile 1896.7 Colombia 1906.8 Costa Rica 1926.9 Ecuador 1936.10 El Salvador 1946.11 Guatemala 1956.12 Guyana 1966.13 Honduras 1966.14 Mexico 1976.15 Nicaragua 1996.16 Panama 2006.17 Paraguay 2006.18 Peru 2016.19 Suriname 2026.20 The Falkland Islands 2036.21 Uruguay 2046.22 Venezuela 2057 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN 2077.1 Executive Summary 2077.2 Antigua and Barbuda 2097.3 Aruba 2097.4 Barbados 2107.5 Bermuda 2117.6 Canada 2117.7 Cuba 2137.8 Dominica 2147.9 Dominican Republic 2157.10 Greenland 2167.11 Grenada 2177.12 Haiti 2177.13 Jamaica 2187.14 Puerto Rico 2197.15 St. Kitts and Nevis 2207.16 St. Lucia 2207.17 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 2217.18 The Bahamas 2227.19 The British Virgin Islands 2227.20 The Cayman Islands 2237.21 The U.S. Virgin Islands 2247.22 The United States 2247.23 Trinidad and Tobago 2268 OCEANA 2278.1 Executive Summary 2278.2 American Samoa 2288.3 Australia 2298.4 Christmas Island 2308.5 Cook Islands 2308.6 Fiji 2318.7 French Polynesia 2318.8 Guam 2328.9 Kiribati 2338.10 Marshall Islands 2338.11 Micronesia Federation 2348.12 Nauru 2348.13 New Caledonia 2358.14 New Zealand 2368.15 Niue 2378.16 Norfolk Island 2378.17 Palau 2388.18 Solomon Islands 2388.19 The Northern Mariana Island 2398.20 Tonga 2408.21 Tuvalu 2408.22 Vanuatu 2418.23 Wallis and Futuna 2418.24 Western Samoa 2429 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 2439.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 2439.2 ICON Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 244