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BMI View: Oil production continues to outperform as a weak rouble allows for
maintained capex and
lower operating costs. Gas production has been steady though exports,
particularly to Europe, are up 14%
The main trends and developments we highlight for Russia's oil & gas sector are:
-Crude oil and condensate production averaged 10.87mn b/d in H116.
-Lukoil has begun development drilling on the Vladimir Filanovsky field in the
Caspian Sea and is
targeting first oil by the end of the year. Plateau production is due to reach
-Rosneft is moving forward with exploration in the Lisyansky and potentially the
Magadan-1 block in the
Sea of Okhotsk over the summer.
-BP (49%) has committed up to USD300mn to the Yermak-Neftegaz exploration joint
Rosneft (51%). The focus of exploration will be Yenisey-Khatanga and Western
-Russian gas production over H116 was 4bcm lower than H115.
-Gas exports to Europe, however, increased 10.9bcm to 84.9bcm in H116.
-Train 1 of the Yamal LNG project is reportedly 70% complete and the USD19bn
financing has been
-The finance minister expects oil export duty to drop to the planned 30% in
2017, from 42% currently.
-Overall refinery throughput has reduced around 3.3% in H116 over H115.
-Gasoline, diesel and jet fuel production remains stable, though fuel oil
output has reduced over H116 as
deeper refining capabilities improve.