India Paper & Paper Products Industry Report

 Published On: Feb, 2016 |    No of Pages: 31 |  Published By: Emerging Markets Direct | Format: PDF
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This report profiles India’s paper and paper products industry, discussing market trends through 2015 and outlook for 2016 and beyond. The report also highlights leading players in the sector including Ballarpur Industries Ltd, Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Paper Ltd and Rainbow Papers Ltd.

The paper industry in India has been in existence since ancient times, experiencing a paradigm change over the years. The existing domestic paper mills employ diverse technologies- from legacy to advanced methods. The paper mills mainly use three types of raw material - wood/chemical pulp, agro residues and recycled fibre - to produce paper and paper products.

After a rapid consumption growth during the 2009-12 period, Indian paper industry experienced a lull in FY13. The rising raw material prices forced domestic manufacturers to increase the prices of paper and paper products. The industry saw a demand revival and decline in raw material prices in FY14 which brought some relief to the manufacturers. However, raw material prices soared again in FY15-16. This together with slug of cheap imports from China and other Southeast Asian nations negatively impacted the profit margins of most paper producers. Domestic manufacturers were not able to raise their prices to match the rise in raw material costs due to the cheaper imports. In order to remain competitive, paper-makers have been seeking the government's intervention to impose a 10% special additional duty on imports of paper and paperboard on an actual-use basis.

This temporary slowdown has forced the industry players to rethink their growth strategy. Some have deferred their expansion plans while others scaled-down operations. Going further, decline in profitability might stimulate consolidation in the industry over the next few years. Despite this, the medium-term outlook for the sector looks stable considering the low per capita consumption of paper in India.

Key Points:

• During 2009-13, the value of paper and paper products production of Indian companies grew at a CAGR of 11%. After recording a peak y/y increase of 34.5% in FY11, the sector saw subdued growth in the last four years.

• India saw rapid growth in the consumption of paper and paper products during 2006-11. During this period, annual consumption of paper and paper products grew at a CAGR of 9.3%, much higher than the average global growth rate of around 3%. However, after peaking in FY11, demand decelerated during FY12 and FY13. The sector finally saw some demand recovery in FY14 but moderated again in FY15. During 2011-15, consumption grew by 6.3%, lower than historic but still higher than the global average.

• The index of industrial production (IIP) recorded a decline of 0.1% in FY14. Paper and paper products industry saw growth of only 0.1% y/y. However, the industry saw a revival in FY15 with a growth of 3% y/y. In 8MFY16, it recorded a growth of 3.2% y/y.

1. Industry Profile
1.1 Sector overview
1.2 Sector size
1.3 Competitive landscape
1.4 Environmental scanning

2. Market Trends and Outlook
2.1 Key economic indicators-India
2.2 Production trends
2.3 Installed capacity
2.4 Consumption trends
2.5 Paper imports
2.6 Paper exports
2.7 Paper prices
2.8 Raw materials
2.9 Market outlook

3. Leading Players and Comparative Matrix
3.1 Leading Players
3.1.1 Ballarpur Industries Limited (BILT)
3.1.2 Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Paper Limited (TNNPL)
3.1.3 Rainbow Papers Limited (RPL)
3.2 Comparative matrix
3.3 SWOT analysis

4. Tables and Charts

Table 1: Fiscal relief measures suggested by working group on paper sector
Table 2: Recent capacity additions by major paper companies
Table 3: Key financial ratios of leading players (FYE Mar15)
Table 4: Latest results of the leading players (FY16)

Chart 1: Production of paper and paper products in India
Chart 2: Per capita consumption of paper in different geographies
Chart 3: Indian paper production breakup by type of raw material
Chart 4: Total production output of Indian paper and paper product companies
Chart 5: Share of sector segments by value
Chart 6: Cumulative FDI in paper sector in India
Chart 7: Share of Indian paper companies by installed capacity
Chart 8: Results of Indian general elections
Chart 9: Current account deficit and fiscal deficit
Chart 10: Indian literacy rate according to census
Chart 11: Quarterly GDP growth rate-India
Chart 12: Average Monthly USD to INR Exchange Rate
Chart 13: Inflation-India
Chart 14: Repo rate
Chart 15: Contribution of industries in IIP
Chart 16: Y/Y change in Index of industrial production
Chart 17: Annual production of paper in India
Chart 18: Y/Y change in index of production-Month wise
Chart 19: Installed capacity for paper production in India
Chart 20: Total consumption of paper and paper products in India
Chart 21: Ratio of paper and paper products demand to supply and capacity
Chart 22: Annual paper import in India
Chart 23: Total value of paper and paper products import in India
Chart 24: Annual paper and paper product exports from India
Chart 25: Trade deficit in the paper and paper products sector
Chart 26: Monthly wholesale price index-Printing and writing paper
Chart 27: Monthly wholesale price index-Newsprint
Chart 28: Monthly wholesale price index-Pulp
Chart 29: Monthly wholesale price index-Bagasse
Chart 30: Forecast for paper consumption in India
Chart 31: Breakup of BILT’s revenue by segments
Chart 32: Total revenues of BILT
Chart 33: Profit margins of BILT
Chart 34: Breakup of TNNPL’s revenue by segments
Chart 35: Total revenues of TNNPL
Chart 36: Profit margins of TNNPL
Chart 37: Revenue breakup of RPL
Chart 38: Total revenues of RPL
Chart 39: Profit margins of RPL
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