Serbia Retail Report

 Published On: Jul, 2016 |    No of Pages: 63 |  Published By: BMI Retail | Format: PDF
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BMI View: The Serbian economy will continue to recover from the 2014 recession in the coming two years, aided by Prime Minister Aleksandar Vucic's credible market-friendly and structural reform of the public sector, along with the prospects of EU accession providing a policy anchor for the Serbian government. With a decrease in the unemployment rate and growth in household income, indications for retail growth remain promising.

Key Views And Developments
-While we maintain a cautious outlook for the Serbian retail sector, we expect strengthening household spending to show from 2017 across our forecast period to 2020. In 2016, total household spending is forecast to show almost a 3% contraction in US dollar terms but then to grow again by 6.6% in 2017, reaching 7.3% in 2020.
-The total population will decrease by an average of 0.4% annually over the forecast period - one of the fastest rates in the region.

BMI Industry View ....... 7
SWOT .... 9
Retail SWOT ..... 9
Industry Forecast ...... 11
Headline Retail Forecast .. 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Serbia 2013-2020) . . 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Serbia 2013-2020) . . 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Serbia 2013-2020) . . . 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Serbia 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sector Forecast ...... 19
Food, Drink & Tobacco .. 20
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Serbia 2013-2020) . . . . 20
Clothing & Footwear ...... 21
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Serbia 2013-2020) . 21
Household Goods ... 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (Serbia, 2012-2019) 22
Household Numbers And Income Forecast ... 24
Table: Household Income Data (Serbia 2013-2020) . . . . 25
Table: Labour Market Data (Serbia 2013-2020) . . . 29
Demographic Forecast ..... 30
Table: Total Population (Serbia 2013-2020) . . 32
Table: Population: Young Children (Serbia 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Children (Serbia 2013-2020) . . 33
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Serbia 2013-2020) . 33
Table: Population: Young People (Serbia 2013-2020) . . 34
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Serbia 2013-2020) . . . . 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (Serbia 2013-2020) . . 34
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Serbia 2013-2020) . . . 35
Industry Risk/Reward Index ..... 36
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index .... 36
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 . 36
Serbia Risk/Reward Index . 37
Rewards ....... 37
Risks .... 38
Market Overview ....... 40
Competitive Landscape .... 46
Clothing & Footwear ...... 46
Table: Selected Clothing & Footwear Retailers . . . . 46
Household Goods ... 47
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers . . . 47
Electronics ... 47
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 47
Department Stores .. 48
Table: Selected Department Store Retailers . . . 48
E-Commerce . 48
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers . . . 48
Pharmacies ... 49
Table: Selected Pharmacies Retailers . . . . 49
Glossary ..... 50
Methodology ...... 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ....... 60
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . . 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 63
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