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Despite a poor business environment, weak consumer confidence and a lacklustre external environment, the Brazilian shipping industry is set to perform well over both the short and medium terms. A nascent policy shift will gradually regain investor confidence following years of unorthodox economic policies, but will be slow to translate into a significant uptick in growth.We are sticking to last quarter's forecasts for the Brazilian shipping industry, which we predict will perform strongly in 2015. Annual tonnage throughput gains will be strongest at the Port of Itajaí at 7.2%, while box throughput will be at its highest year-on-year (y-o-y) levels at the Port of Salvador, which is pencilled in for double-digit growth in 2015.
Industry View 5SWOT 8Shipping 8Political 10Economic 11Operational Risk 12Industry Forecast 14Port Of Itajaí Throughput 14Port Of Santos Throughput 19Table: Major Ports Data (Brazil 2012-2019) 23Table: Trade Overview (Brazil 2012-2019) 25Table: Key Trade Indicators (Brazil 2012-2019) 26Table: Top Import Sources, 2006-2013 (USDmn) 27Table: Top Export Destinations, 2004-2012 (USDmn) 28Market Overview 29Brazil Container Shipping Market Overview 29Company Profile 37Aliança Navegação e Logística 37Shipping - Global Industry View 40Container Lines To Prosper In 2015 40Global Company Strategy 45Maersk Line 45Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 56CMA CGM 62Evergreen Line 72COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 79Macroeconomic Forecasts 88Economic Analysis 88Table: Economic Activity (Brazil 2009-2018) 92Demographic Forecast 93Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 94Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 94Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 95Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 95Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 96