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BMI forecasts an expansion in container and gross tonnage handling across all Colombian ports in 2015,cementing a return to growth following a 2013 downturn. That said, domestic container demand will bemore muted than we expected, as falling oil prices will weigh on economic growth. We have revised downour real GDP forecast for 2015 from 4.9% to 3.9%, and our Cartagena container throughput forecastscorrespondingly.Headline Industry Data¦ The port of Cartagena will see total tonnage volume increase by 4.5% to 21.63mn tonnes in 2015, andwill average growth of 5.3% to 2019.¦ Container traffic at Cartagena will grow by 7.9% to 2.22mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) in 2015.Growth to 2019 will average 9.4%.
Industry View 5SWOT 7Shipping 7Political 9Economic 10Operational Risk 11Industry Forecast 13Port Of Cartagena Throughput 13Port Of Buenaventura Throughput 17Table: Major Ports Data (Colombia 2012-2019) 21Table: Trade Overview (Colombia 2012-2019) 22Table: Key Trade Indicators (Colombia 2012-2019) 22Table: Main Import Partners, 2006-2013 23Table: Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013 24Market Overview 25Colombia Container Shipping Market Overview 25Shipping - Global Industry View 32Container Lines To Prosper In 2015 32Global Company Strategy 37Maersk Line 37Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 48CMA CGM 54Evergreen Line 65COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 72Macroeconomic Forecasts 80Economic Analysis 80Table: GDP By Expenditure (Colombia 2011-2018) 87Demographic Forecast 88Table: Population Headline Indicators (Colombia 1990-2025) 89Table: Key Population Ratios (Colombia 1990-2025) 89Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Colombia 1990-2025) 90Table: Population By Age Group (Colombia 1990-2025) 90Table: Population By Age Group % (Colombia 1990-2025) 91