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Maintains its positive outlook on Peru's shipping and port sector. While we expect real GDP growth to level off at around 5.0% during our forecast period, below its recent trend, significant mineral wealth, attractive investment opportunities at the sector level, and a growing consumer story underpin our view that Peru will remain one of the most dynamic economies in Latin America in the coming yearsThere are downside risks, nevertheless, with exports to China comprising over 15.0% of total exports in 2012 and the mining sector and related industries heavily dependent on foreign investment. Underdeveloped infrastructure, capacity constraints, declines in major mining firms' capital expenditure programmes and continued social unrest could also weigh on shipping volumes. Because of these risks, we maintain our below-consensus view on real GDP growth, and anticipate a wider current account deficit and further currency weakness over the next few years.
Industry View 5Peru Shipping Industry SWOT 7Shipping 7Political 9Economic 10Business Environment 11Industry Forecast 12Port Of Callao Throughput 12Port Of Paita Throughput 15Table: Major Ports Data, 2011-2018 16Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018 17Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018 18Table: Major import Partners, 2004-2012 19Table: Major Export Partners, 2004-2012 20Market Overview 21Peru Container Shipping Market Overview 21Industry Trends And Developments 27Shipping - Global Industry View 29Container Demand: 29Container Supply: 36Container Rates: 42Global Company Strategy 46Maersk Line 46Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 59CMA CGM 64Evergreen Line 74COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 81Macroeconomic Forecasts 88Table: Peru - Economic Activity 92Demographic Forecast 93Table: Peru's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 94Table: Peru's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 95Table: Peru's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 96Table: Peru's Rural/Urban Population, 1990-2020 96