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Industry ViewOur outlook for the port of Singapore for 2013 remains that it will not overtake the port of Shanghai for thecrown of the world's largest container port, as we had envisaged several quarters ago. We now see such ascenario as unlikely to fall out, and we have revised down our outlook for growth in box handling in 2013further, now forecasting growth of just 1.0%, compared with our previous forecast of 1.4% growth. This isbased on poor monthly data coming out of the port, and the worsening outlook in the eurozone. We haverevised down our GDP growth forecast for the currency bloc to a decline of 0.5%.Headline Industry Data■ Port of Singapore's gross tonnage will grow by 3.2% in 2014 and will expand at the same average rateover our medium-term forecast period to 2018.■ Port of Singapore box handling set to grow by 2.8% in 2014, with average annual growth set at 3.5% perannum over the medium term.■ The country's overall trade will grow by 3.4% in real terms in 2014 and will average 4.1% to 2017.
Industry View 7SWOT 9Shipping 9Political 11Economic 12Business Environment 13Industry Forecast 14Port Of Singapore Throughput 14Table: Major Port Data, 2011-2018 18Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018 19Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018 20Table: Top Import partners, 2004-2011 21Table: Top Export Destinations, 2004-2011 22Market Overview 23Singapore Container Shipping Market Overview 23Industry Trends And Developments 28Company Profile 31Pacific International Lines (PIL) 31Pacific Carriers Limited (PCL) 34APL 36Shipping - Global Industry View 43Box Demand: Container Outlook Strengthening In 2014 43Box Supply: Slowing New Vessel Deliveries To Decrease Overcapacity Pressure 60Table: Q313 Container Vessel Deliveries 61Table: 2013 Mega Vessel Orders 62Box Rates: Rate Push In Preparation For 2014 66Table: 2012 & 2013 SCFI Europe Base Port Average Freight Rate Overview 73Table: 2012 & 2013 SCFI USWC Base Port Average Freight Rate Overview 73Global Company Strategy 74Maersk Line 74Mediterranean Shipping Company 82CMA CGM 88Evergreen Line 95COSCO Container Lines Company 101Macroeconomic Forecasts 107Household Leverage Is A Risků 108But The Overall Picture Is More Sanguine 109Higher Returns On External Assets Will Provide A Boost 110Near Term Growth Prospects Muted, But Stronger Growth On The Horizon 110Table: Singapore - Economic Activity 112Demographic Forecast 113Demographic Outlook 113Table: Singapore's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 114Table: Singapore's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 115Table: Singapore's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 116Table: Singapore's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 116