Romania Freight Transport Report

 Published On: Jul, 2014 |    No of Pages: 91 |  Published By: BMI Freight Transport | Format: PDF
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Following a year in which BMI believes saw increasing freight volumes in Romania, 2014 will signal further growth across the whole freight transport sector in line with the country's macroeconomic outlook

Total trade is projected to pick up with our Country Risk desk forecasting a y-o-y increase of 4.75% in 2014 following an estimated growth of 4.90% in 2013

Road freight is to continue to dominate the sector and is projected to grow by 3% in 2014. The mode did not manage to defy the downturn but so far appears to have defied European Union (EU) pledges of a decrease in road haulage across the region, that is not to say, however, that road freight's market share is safe

BMI notes that rail is the likeliest candidate in Romania's freight transport mix to benefit from any diversification away from road, although currently is expected to grow at a slower pace. In the longer term the mode might benefit from the privatisation of Romania's national rail freight company CFR Marfa, which, however, is unlikely to happen until at least 2015.

Industry View 7
Freight Transport 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Business Environment 12
Industry Forecast 13
Road Freight 15
Table: Road Freight (Romania 2011-2018) 18
Rail Freight 18
Table: Rail Freight (Romania 2011-2018) 20
Inland Waterway Freight 20
Table: Inland Waterway Freight (Romania 2011-2018). 22
Air Freight 22
Table: Air Freight (Romania 2011-2018) 23
Maritime Freight 23
Table: Maritime Freight (Romania 2011-2019) 24
Trade 24
Table: Trade Overview (Romania 2011-2018) 24
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Romania 2011-2018) 24
Table: Top Import Destinations, 2004-2012 26
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2004-2012 26
Market Overview 28
Industry Trends And Developments 32
Romania - Q3 2014 32
Maritime Freight 32
Rail Freight 33
Company Profile 35
TAROM Cargo 35
DB Schenker Romania 38
CFR Marfa 41
Political Outlook 43
Domestic Politics 43
Long-Term Political Outlook 47
Oil Price Outlook 52
Bunker Fuel 52
Table: BMI Crude Oil & Bunker Fuel Price Forecast (USD/bbl) 52
The Storm Clears For Shipping 53
(Slightly) Better Times For Bunker Prices 55
Long-Term Threats Linger 56
Pressing Rotterdam & New York Harder 58
Risks To Outlook 59
Jet Fuel 59
Table: BMI Crude Oil & Jet Fuel Price Forecast, USD/bbl 59
Better Outlook Tames Price Fall 60
Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volume Growth62
Risks To Outlook 65
Diesel 66
Table: BMI Crude Oil And Diesel Price Forecast (USD/bbl) 66
New York's One-Off Heat Up 66
NY: Short-Term Diesel Price Support Expected 69
Rotterdam: Green Policies Drive Diesel Forward 73
Singapore: Diesel Support With Power Risks 75
Risks To Outlook 79
Macroeconomic Forecasts 80
Economic Analysis 80
Table: Romania - Economic Activity 84
Demographic Forecast 85
Demographic Outlook 85
Table: Romania's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 86
Table: Romania's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 87
Table: Romania's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 88
Table: Romania's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 88
Methodology 89
Industry Forecast Methodology 89
Sector-Specific Methodology 90
Sources 91

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