Russia Freight Transport Report

 Published On: Jul, 2015 |    No of Pages: 85 |  Published By: BMI Freight Transport | Format: PDF
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BMI View: Over 2015, the freight sector will record contractions across the transport modes given the frail outlook for the economy. T he outperforming freight mode in terms of year-on-year (y-o-y) tonnage growth is set to be the rail freight sector, which will record the smallest contraction of 1.2% for the year. The other modes will record more significant declines, with road at -2.5% and air freight volumes set to contract by 3.7% y-o-y. This is reflective of the wider economic picture, with real GDP forecast to contract by 5.2% in 2015 as private and public consumption losses weigh on demand for freight services .

Russia's Q1 2015 real GDP contracted by 2.2% year-on-year (y-o-y), marking a downward revision from the previous estimate for the quarter of -1.9%. Though inflation is beginning to fall, partially due to stability in the rouble, the outlook for Russian consumers remains bleak with growth of real wages and disposable incomes deeply in negative territory. This poor domestic outlook, combined with notable external challenges will continue to present headwinds for Russian trade over the next 12 months. This has knock on effects for Russia's freight sector, with across the board contractions expected due to lower trade volumes.

BMI Industry View7
Freight Transport9
Operational Risk13
Industry Forecast15
Table: Rail Freight (Russia 2012-2019)19
Table: Road Freight (Russia 2012-2019)21
Inland Waterways21
Table: Inland Waterway Freight (Russia 2012-2019)22
Table: Air Freight (Russia 2012-2019)23
Table: Maritime Freight (Russia 2012-2019)25
Table: Trade Overview (Russia 2012-2019)26
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Russia 2012-2019)26
Table: Top Import Destinations, 2006-201328
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2006-201328
Market Overview30
Company Profile35
AirBridgeCargo (ABC)35
Aeroflot Cargo38
Latest Activity46
Freight One (PGK)52
Federal Freight Company55
Political Outlook58
Domestic Politics58
Table: Table: Political Overview61
Foreign Policy62
Long-Term Political Outlook64
Oil Price Outlook70
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts70
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)70
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)71
Macroeconomic Forecasts73
Economic Analysis73
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Russia 2012-2019)77
Demographic Forecast78
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025)79
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025)79
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025)80
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025)80
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025)81
Industry Forecast Methodology83
Sector-Specific Methodology84

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