The 2016-2021 Outlook for Aerospace and Defense in North America & the Caribbean

 Published On: Jul, 2013 |    No of Pages: 39 |  Published By: Icon Group International, Inc | Format: PDF
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This econometric study covers the outlook for aerospace and defense in North America & the Caribbean. For each year reported, estimates are given for the latent demand, or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.), for the country in question (in millions of U.S. dollars), the percent share the country is of the region and of the globe. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a country vis--vis others. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each country and across countries, latent demand estimates are created. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved. This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the countries in North America & the Caribbean). This study gives, however, my estimates for the latent demand, or the P.I.E. for aerospace and defense in North America & the Caribbean. It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided across the national markets of North America & the Caribbean. For each country, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time (positive or negative growth). In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on international strategic planning at graduate schools of business.

Table Of Contents:

1.1 Overview 7
1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 7
1.3 The Methodology 8
1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 10
1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 11
1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 12
1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 12
1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 13
1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 13
1.3.7 Step 7. Latent Demand Density: Allocating Across Cities 13
2.1 Executive Summary 15
2.2 Antigua and Barbuda 16
2.3 Aruba 17
2.4 Barbados 17
2.5 Bermuda 17
2.6 Canada 19
2.7 Cuba 20
2.8 Dominica 21
2.9 Dominican Republic 21
2.10 Greenland 22
2.11 Grenada 23
2.12 Guadeloupe 24
2.13 Haiti 25
2.14 Jamaica 25
2.15 Martinique 26
2.16 Puerto Rico 27
2.17 St. Kitts and Nevis 28
2.18 St. Lucia 28
2.19 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 29
2.20 The Bahamas 30
2.21 The British Virgin Islands 30
2.22 The Cayman Islands 31
2.23 The U.S. Virgin Islands 32
2.24 The United States 32
2.25 Trinidad and Tobago 33
2.26 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 34
2.26.1 Category Definition 34
2.26.2 Units 34
2.26.3 Methodology 35
3.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 37
3.2 Icon Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 38

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