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The China Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and
features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by
road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading
national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends,
opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.
Business Monitor International (BMI)'s China Freight Transport Report provides
industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade
associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive
intelligence on the Chinese freight transport and logistics industry.
Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on China to
test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the
strategic freight transport market.
Target business opportunities and risks in the Chinese freight transport sector
through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major
deals, projects and investments in China.
Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors,
partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering
freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and
projects and significant national and multinational company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within
the freight transport sector and within the broader political, economic and
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry
and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus
analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:
Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways,
maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).
Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods,
food, chemicals etc.); top five import and export trade partners (USDmn);
imports/exports to each global region (USDmn)
Port Data: Throughput (‘000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.
Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at
all major global energy trading hubs.
Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD);
industrial production (%); unemployment (%)
Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air,
water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each
Industry Trends and Developments
Analysis of the latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail,
air, sea and logistics) including a market overview which provides an outline of
the key elements driving development.
The Freight Transport market reports contain a chapter detailing the political
outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook
and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and
Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players.
Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our
macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to
generate companySWOT analyses.
The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are
also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of
recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Freight Transport reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources,
such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry
associations, chambers and company reports
BMI Industry View7
Table: Road Freight (China 2011-2018)18
Inland Waterway Freight18
Table: Inland Waterway Freight (China 2011-2018)20
Table: Rail Freight (China 2011-2018)23
Table: Air Freight (China 2011-2018)26
Table: Maritime Freight (China 2011-2018)27
Table: Trade Overview (China 2011-2018)29
Table: Key Trade Indicators (China 2011-2018)29
Table: Top Import Partners, 2005-2012 (USDmn)31
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2005-2012 (USDmn)31
Industry Trends And Developments37
Jade Cargo International47
China Railway Container Transport Corporation49
China Southern (Cargo)51
Daqin Railway Company57
China Shipping Container Line (CSCL)64
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)72
COSCO - Dry Bulk79
New Precedent In Targeting Standing Committee Members85
Xi's Consolidation Continues85
Purge Tied To Economic Reform Agenda-86
Long-Term Political Outlook87
Table: Table: Political Overview93
Oil Price Outlook95
Diesel/Gasoil: Short-Term Overhang To Dissipate95
Table: BMI Diesel/Gasoil Price Forecast, 2014-2018 (USD/bbl)95
Supply Keeps Market Down95
Higher Crude Prices, Tighter Market To Provide Support97
Long-Term Outlook: Diesel To Find Demand Support98
Risks To Outlook101
Jet Fuel: Relative Short-Term Stability With Long-Term Risks102
Table: BMI Jet Fuel Price Forecast, 2014-2018102
Longer Term Dynamics: Consolidation Poses Risk107
Risks To Outlook108
Bunker Fuel: No End To Downtrend109
Table: BMI Bunker Fuel Price Forecast, 2014-2018 (USD/bbl)109
Slower Fall, But Fall Nonetheless111
Longer Term Trends Continue To Press HSFO115
Risks To Outlook116
More Cities To Witness Price Declines119
Government, PBoC Likely To Tweak Policies121
Economic Reforms Another Headwind121
Table: Economic Activity (China 2009-2018)123
Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)125
Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)126
Table: China's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020127
Table: China's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020127
Industry Forecast Methodology128